2023年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（第一季度/2023）

EUROPEAN TOURISM:TRENDS & PROSPECTS A report produced forthe European Travel Commission Brussels, May2023 Copyright © 2023 European Travel Commission EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q1/2023) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accurately andclearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we encouragedistribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link toETC's corporate website, referring The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression ofany opinions whatsoever on the part of the Executive Unit of the European Travel Commission. Data sources: This report includes data from theTourMIS database,STR,IATA,Eurocontrol,UNWTO, andTransparent. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided byTourism Economicsand are for interpretationby users according to their needs. Published by the European Travel Commission Rue du Marché aux Herbes, 61,1000 Brussels, Belgium Website:www.etc-corporate.org Email:info@visiteurope.comISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) on behalf of the ETC Market Intelligence Group. Cover:Cosy street in Tallinn old town, Estonia. Saiakang street in old Tallinn cityImage ID:1972610216Copyright:Arcady FOREWORD Europe’s tourism performance in 2022 has showcased the region’s resilience as it continued torecover from the Covid-19 pandemic and persistent global challenges. Despite most of thesechallenges weighing on the disposable income of households, willingness to travel remained strongin 2022, benefitting mostly budget-friendly destinations. While it is encouraging to observe travelnormalcy returning, the extent to which travel disruptions in 2022 will affect the sector this year As the recovery takes place and we approach the summer peak season, it is fundamental toacknowledge that “business-as-usual” travel would not be the ideal scenario today and in the yearstocome.To preserve the sector for future generations,tourism businesses,stakeholders,policymakers, and destinations are called on to continue strengthening their efforts to minimisetourism’s impact on the environment and local communities. At the same time, travellers must As a force for good, travel and tourism should continue to be used as a tool to foster dialogue amongbusinesses, governments, and local communities under a common goal, to adopt more responsiblestrategies that offer long-term preservation of the sector’s future to benefit the planet and all whoinhabit it. Implementing appropriate and more innovative strategies will not only allow us to address This edition ofEuropean Tourism Trends & Prospectscontains a special feature on the impact ontourism of the Russia-Ukraine war more than a year after the Russian invasion. This issue also providesinsights on full year 2022 data, including for the first quarter of this year, as well as a detailed analysis Jennifer IduhHead of Research & Insights TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................... 61. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2022 ................................................................................... 92. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2023 .................................................................................133. GLOBAL TOURISM FORECAST SUMMARY ...................................................................................174. RECENT INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE ............................................................................................18AIR TRANSPORT...................................................................................................................................18ACCOMMODATION..............................................................................................................................215. SPECIAL FEATURE: A YEAR OF THE WAR IN UKRAINE .............................................................23 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EUROPEAN TOURISM PROVED RESILIENT IN 2022 DESPITE PERSISTENT HEADWINDS European tourism continues to regain lost ground during the pandemic as foreign tourist arrivals nowsit 18% below 2019 levels for the full-year 2022. Despite concerns about increasing costs of living,consumers refused to cut back on travel, particularly over the year’s second half. Inflation peaked in The risks of recession and gas shortages have dissipated, while falling energy prices and stable labourmarket developments in the EU3will also sustain European tourism in 2023. The challenges from2022, however, are expected to spill into 2023 in terms of elevated food and jet fuel prices, higher European tourism demand has entered 2023 on a firm footing. Year-to-date data indicates thatalmost one third of reporting destinations have surpassed 2019 levels of to