2023年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2023年第四季度）

EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q4/2023) EUROPEAN TOURISM:TRENDS & PROSPECTSQuarterly report (Q4/2023) A report produced forthe European Travel Commission Brussels,February2024 Copyright © 2024European Travel Commission EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q4/2023) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While weencourage distribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link toETC's The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from theTourMIS database,STR,IATA,Eurocontrol,UNTourism, andLighthouse. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided byTourism Economicsand are Published by the European Travel Commission Rue du Marché aux Herbes, 61,1000 Brussels, Belgium Website:www.etc-corporate.org Email:info@visiteurope.com ISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) on behalf of the ETC Market IntelligenceGroup. Cover:The citadel, Collegiate Church and river Meuse in Dinant, Belgium, in winterImageID:539400286Copyright:Boris Stroujko FOREWORD As 2023 drew to a close, European tourism continued its path to recovery. Foreign touristarrivals to Europe now sit at just under 2% below 2019 levels in 2023, and the recovery hasextended its reach to a more diverse range of countries within Europe. Southern Europeancountries remained particularly popular amongst travellers, but an increasing number ofWestern and Northern European destinations are seeing their popularity increase again too. Withtravel volumes returningto pre-pandemic levels, it becomes increasingly important tomonitor travel patterns and traveller behaviour. Together with other social, economic andenvironmental indicators such as employment levels and resident satisfaction levels, thishelps ensure that there is an equitable trade-off between the value that is brought about and Inflation has been one of the main influences on travel behaviour throughout 2023, as theprices of travel products and services have been especially high. However, these pressureshave startedto easein late 2023, which is noteworthy going into 2024. Long-haul travel toEurope, where pricing is more important due to the expensive nature of these trips, is The most recent edition of the 'European Tourism Trends & Prospects' quarterly report delvesinto Europe’s tourism performance going into the final months of 2023. This report alsofeatures a special section on the recovery of travel from China and other long-haul sourcemarkets. As such, this analysis offers a detailed overview of Europe's tourism recovery, as well Menno van IJsselProject Manager Research TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.........................................................................................................................61. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2023...................................................................................52. GLOBAL TOURISM FORECAST SUMMARY.....................................................................................93. RECENT INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE............................................................................................10AIR TRANSPORT...................................................................................................................................10ACCOMMODATION..............................................................................................................................144. SPECIAL FEATURE: LONG-HAUL TRAVEL RECOVERY...............................................................175. KEY SOURCE MARKET PERFORMANCE......................................................................................21 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EUROPEAN TOURISM RECOVERYCONTINUED INTO THE SHOULDER MONTHS OF 2023, AS MORE Data from European destinations shows that travel demand remains strong. Approximately two outof three countries are now reporting either a full recovery or are within 10% of pre-pandemic levelsof foreign tourist arrivals and/or overnights. Foreign arrivals currently sit just 1.6% below 2019 levelsfor Europe as a whole, and this recovery is expected to continue into 2024. The improvements aremainly a result of strong intra-European travel, predominantly from the German, French and Dutchsource markets.Travel from long-haul source markets to Europe is increasing as well, although at a Inflationary pressures have been a main factor in subduing some travel demand. Prices for travelrelated products such as international flights, package holidays and hotels all remained more than30% higher than before the pandemic. This has benefitted low-cost airlines and destinations that areconsidered to provide more value-for-money. There seems to be an end in sight however, as pricingpressures