2023年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（第三季度/2023年）

EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q3/2023) EUROPEAN TOURISM:TRENDS & PROSPECTSQuarterly report (Q3/2023) A report produced forthe European Travel Commission Brussels,November2023 Copyright © 2023European Travel Commission EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q3/2023) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While weencourage distribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link toETC's The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from theTourMIS database,STR,IATA,Eurocontrol,UNWTO,andTransparent. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided byTourism Economicsand are for Published by the European Travel Commission Rue du Marché aux Herbes, 61,1000 Brussels, Belgium Website:www.etc-corporate.org Email:info@visiteurope.com ISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) on behalf of the ETC Market IntelligenceGroup. Cover:Cape Greko, CyprusImageSource:UnsplashCopyright:Daryl Bleach FOREWORD The summerof2023 proved to be resilient for European tourism demand considering thegeopolitical, environmental,and economic challenges facing the sector and consumers.Destinations in Southern Mediterranean Europe were the main drivers of the rebound inforeign arrivals across the region this summer. Favourable exchange rates have also helpedto fuel Europe’s appeal to the US market so far this year which has supported recovery inseveral destinations. Despite an encouraging tourism rebound (-3.2% in international tourist Inflationary pressures and travel prices at record highs remain significant worries forholidaymakers who, nevertheless, are still putting holidays near the top of their discretionaryspending priorities. Climate-related adversities, another key concern for travellers, were alsovery present this summer season with Southern European and Mediterranean destinationssuffering from heatwaves and wildfires while other destinations across the region were Overall, mitigating tourism’s impact on climate change requires a collaborative effortbetween destinations, governments, tourism businesses, travellers,and local communities.Through the adoption of more responsible measures, the tourism sector can play a vital role The most recent edition of the European Tourism Trends & Prospects quarterly report delvesinto destination performance overthe summer and its implications on recovery andperformance as we approach the shoulder season. This report also features a specialchapteron the cost of living and its impact on travel. This analysis offers a more comprehensive Jennifer IduhHead of Research & Insights TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.........................................................................................................................61. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2023...................................................................................92. GLOBAL TOURISM FORECAST SUMMARY...................................................................................133. RECENT INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE............................................................................................14AIR TRANSPORT...................................................................................................................................14ACCOMMODATION..............................................................................................................................184. SPECIAL FEATURE: INFLATION AND TRAVEL..............................................................................205. KEY SOURCE MARKET PERFORMANCE......................................................................................23 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EUROPEAN TOURISM DISPLAYED ENCOURAGING RESILIENCE THIS SUMMER, ALTHOUGH UNEVEN Despite financial pressures, tourists continue to prioritise travel spending over other discretionaryexpenses. As a result, European travel demand continued to approach pre-pandemic levels,withforeign arrivalsnow at-3.2%compared to 2019, based on data fromTourMIS coveringJanuary to Climate-related challenges such as heatwaves, wildfires,and floods hit tourism hotspots this summer,stressing the need for transformation in the industry to battle climate change. Other risks to Europe’stourism outlook include the continued struggle against inflation, the war in Ukraine and weaker-than-expected growth in the eurozone1 despite falling energy prices and healthy labour markets.Nevertheless, foreign arrivalstoEuropeare expected to pick up by the end of 2023, albeit at a slower Somedivergencewasapparentacross destinations in terms of tourism rebound this summer. Year-to-date data show that around 1 in 3 destinations have surpassed 2019 levels of foreign arrivals.Europe’