2017年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2017年第三季度）

EUROPEAN TOURISM IN 2017: Quarterly Report (Q3/2017) A quarterly insights report produced for the Market Intelligence Groupof theEuropean Travel Commission (ETC)byTourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Copyright © 2017 European Travel Commission European Tourism in 2017: Trends & Prospects (Q3/2017) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from the TourMIS database (http://www.tourmis.info), STRGlobal, IATA, AEA and UNWTO. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided by Tourism Economics and are for interpretation by Published and printed by the European Travel CommissionRue du Marché aux Herbes, 61, 1000 Brussels, BelgiumWebsite:www.etc-corporate.orgEmail:info@visiteurope.com ISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Cover:Majestic lupine flowers glowing by sunlight. Gorgeous scene. Location famous placeStokksnes cape, Vestrahorn (Batman Mount), Iceland, EuropeImage ID:540394105Copyright:Creative Travel Projects TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword ............................................................................................................. 41. Tourism Performance Summary 2017 ............................................................ 72.Global Tourism Forecast Summary.............................................................. 103. Recent Industry Performance ....................................................................... 113.1Air Transport .......................................................................................... 113.2 Accommodation..................................................................................... 144. Special Feature ............................................................................................. 165. Key Source Market Performance .................................................................. 195.1 Key Intra-European Markets.................................................................. 195.2Non-European Markets.......................................................................... 236. Origin Market Share Analysis........................................................................ 276.1 United States.......................................................................................... 286.2 Canada................................................................................................... 296.3 Mexico.................................................................................................... 306.4 Argentina................................................................................................ 316.5 Brazil ...................................................................................................... 326.6 India ....................................................................................................... 33 FOREWORD EUROPEAN TOURISM DEMAND ON AN UPWARD TRAJECTORY Tourism to Europe continued to grow over the summer months this year.International tourist arrivals are estimated to have grown +8% in the first eightmonths of 20171. Despite geopolitical tensions and terror attacks since 2015, the One in two reporting destinations experienced an increase in international touristarrivalsin excess of 10%, with destinations previously affected by safetyconcerns recovering. Turkey (+26%) saw a skyrocketing rebound helped by thesurge in Russian arrivals, based on data to August. Iceland (+30%), saw fastestgrowthdespite lingering concerns about accommodation capacity andinfrastructureconstraints.Southern/Mediterranean destinations,Slovenia,Serbia (both +19%), Malta (+17%) and Cyprus (+15%) enjoyed a hike in the Data to June for Belgium (+12%) indicates a strong recovery, while Ireland (+3%)saw only modest growth in arrivals mainly due to the falls registered from the BUMPY RIDE FOR MAJOR EUROPEAN AIRLINES In Europe, Revenue Passenger Kilometres (RPKs) grew by 8.7% in the firsteight months of the year alongside positive indicators in airline capacity(+6.6%). Growth is mostly strong between Europe and Asia helped by newcapacity on European routes while a strong dollar continues to boost growthbetween Europe and the Americas. Despite positive indicators, the impact on SOLID GROWTH IN EUROPE SUPPORTED BY LARGE INTRA-EUROPEAN Key intra-European source markets (UK, France, and Germany) continue todrive growth in arrivals in many destinations across Europe. A weaker poundfollowing the Brexit vote, and the consequent surge in travel costs, have largelyfailed to deter UK travellers to travel internationally. 24 out of 32 reportingdestinations posted growth in arrivals from the UK so far in 2017. In Germany, Russia