2016年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2016年第三季度）

EUROPEAN TOURISM IN 2016: Quarterly Report (Q3/2016) A quarterly insights report produced for the Market Intelligence Groupof theEuropean Travel Commission (ETC)byTourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Copyright © 2016 European Travel Commission European Tourism in 2016: Trends & Prospects (Q3/2016) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from the TourMIS database (http://www.tourmis.info), STRGlobal, IATA, AEA and UNWTO. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided by Tourism Economics and are for interpretation by Published and printed by the European Travel CommissionRue du Marché aux Herbes, 61, 1000 Brussels, BelgiumWebsite:www.etc-corporate.orgEmail:info@visiteurope.com ISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword ............................................................................................................. 41. Tourism Performance Summary 2016 ............................................................ 72.Global Tourism Forecast Summary.............................................................. 103. Recent Industry Performance ....................................................................... 113.1Air Transport .......................................................................................... 113.2 Accommodation..................................................................................... 154. Special Feature ............................................................................................. 175. Key Source Market Performance .................................................................. 215.1 Key Intra-European Markets.................................................................. 215.2 Non-European Markets.......................................................................... 256. Origin Market Share Analysis........................................................................ 286.1 United States.......................................................................................... 296.2 Canada................................................................................................... 306.3 Mexico.................................................................................................... 316.4 Argentina................................................................................................ 32 7.6 Emerging Markets .................................................................................. 478.Appendix 1.................................................................................................... 519.Appendix 2.................................................................................................... 53 FOREWORD STRONG GROWTH OVER THE SUMMER PERIOD The earlier strong performance in Europe continued into the third quarter of2016. Despite challenges including safety and security, most destinationsacross the region shared in the good summer growth in visitor numbers. International tourist arrivals by destination 2016 year-to-date, % year One in three reporting destinations enjoyed double-digit growth in arrivals.Iceland’s staggering growth (+34%) is partly due to its key position as a hub fortrans-Atlantic travel while Slovakia and Cyprus (both +19%) benefited fromdeferred Russian travel typically bound for Turkey. Southern/Mediterraneandestinations, Portugal (+12%), Serbia, Slovenia and Spain (all +10%) also saw Turkey (-32%) continues to endure the aftermath of its diplomatic tensions,threat of terrorism, and weakened relations with its largest source market,Russia, after a decade of sustained tourism growth. Belgium’s tourismperformance is still at a low ebb (-13%), affected by the slowdown in arrivals European air passenger traffic (measured byRevenue Passenger Kilometres(RPK)) remains robust up 3.5% based on 2016 year-to-date data. Growth isfuelled by strong demand from the Americas, mainly from the US helped by a conditions. Low oil prices continue to result in lower air fares, and both factors GROWTH MOMENTUM DRIVEN BY KEY LONG-HAUL MARKETS Since the UK voted to leave the European Union on June 23rd, there has beenconsiderable uncertainty about the long run impact of ‘Brexit’. Althoughaweaker sterling against the euro has made travel abroad more expensive forBritons, they continue to travel internationally with two in three reportingdestinations posting double-digit growth from the UK. Large Tourist flows from Russia continue to recover following a long period ofweakness. Top destinations rebounding from previous years’ poor performanceare Cyprus, Iceland and Slovakia up 45