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MV6S & 016 EUROPEAN TOURISM IN 2016: Quarterly Report (Q4/2016) A quarterly insights report produced for the Market Intelligence Groupof theEuropean Travel Commission (ETC)byTourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Copyright © 2017 European Travel Commission European Tourism in 2016: Trends & Prospects (Q4/2016) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from the TourMIS database (http://www.tourmis.info), STRGlobal, IATA, AEA and UNWTO. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided by Tourism Economics and are for interpretation by Published and printed by the European Travel CommissionRue du Marché aux Herbes, 61, 1000 Brussels, BelgiumWebsite:www.etc-corporate.orgEmail:info@visiteurope.com ISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Cover:Ivan Vazov National Theatre in Sofia, BulgariaImage ID:244766137Copyright:Leonid Andronov TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword ............................................................................................................. 51. Tourism Performance Summary 2016 ............................................................ 92.Global Tourism Forecast Summary.............................................................. 123. Recent Industry Performance ....................................................................... 133.1Air Transport .......................................................................................... 133.2 Accommodation..................................................................................... 174. Special Feature ............................................................................................. 195. Key Source Market Performance .................................................................. 225.1 Key Intra-European Markets.................................................................. 225.2 Non-European Markets.......................................................................... 266. Origin Market Share Analysis........................................................................ 306.1 United States.......................................................................................... 316.2 Canada................................................................................................... 326.3 Mexico.................................................................................................... 336.4 Argentina................................................................................................ 346.5 Brazil ...................................................................................................... 356.6 India ....................................................................................................... 366.7 China...................................................................................................... 376.8 Japan ..................................................................................................... 386.9 Australia ................................................................................................. 396.10 United Arab Emirates ........................................................................... 406.11 Russia .................................................................................................. 41 7. Economic Outlook ......................................................................................... 42 7.1 Overview ................................................................................................ 427.2 Eurozone................................................................................................ 457.3 United Kingdom...................................................................................... 467.4 United States.......................................................................................... 47 8.Appendix 1.................................................................................................... 529.Appendix 2.................................................................................................... 54 FOREWORD EUROPEAN TOURISM MAINTAINS MOMENTUM IN 2016 2016 marked the seventh consecutive year of growth for European tourism.The most visited region in the world welcomed 620 million international touristarrivals last year, a modest but welcome 2% increase compared to 20151.Overall, Europe proved incredibly resilient to safety and security challenges.Encouragingly, despite political turmoil tourists wish to continue exploring the 28 out of 32 European destinations reported continued growth towards the endof 2016, which was offset by falls in others. Iceland’s stu