2025激流：沿海韧性与房地产研究报告

Coastal Resilience and Real Estate SURGE Coastal Resilience and Real Estate REPORT TEAM ULI PROJECT STAFF LEAD AUTHOR Libby RikerSenior Editor Marianne EppigSenior DirectorUrban Resilience Lindsay BruggerVice PresidentUrban Resilience Karen CodaPublications Professionals LLCManuscript Editor Marta Schantz Tom CameronGraphic Designer Co-Executive DirectorULI Randall Lewis Center forSustainability in Real Estate CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS Lian PlassSenior ManagerUrban Resilience Nicole LongTraffic Manager Jenny ZhangDirector of ESG & DecarbonizationULI Asia Pacific Craig ChapmanSenior DirectorMarketing Operations August Williams-EynonManagerRandall Lewis Center forSustainability in Real Estate Olivia O’BrienInterim Research DirectorULI Europe Victoria OestreichSenior ManagerCenters & Initiatives COVER PHOTO:Manhattan, New York. (Shutterstock) © 2024 Urban Land Institute 2001 L Street, NW | Suite 200 | Washington, DC 20036-4948 All rights reserved. Reproduction or use of the whole or anypart of the contents without written permission of the copyrightholder is prohibited. Recommended bibliographic listing: Urban Land Institute.Surge:Coastal Resilience and Real Estate. Washington, DC: Urban LandInstitute, 2024. ABOUT THE URBAN LAND INSTITUTE The Urban Land Institute is a global, member-drivenorganization comprising more than 48,000 real estateand urban development professionals dedicated toadvancing the Institute’s mission of shaping the futureof the built environment for transformative impact incommunities worldwide. officials, real estate brokers, appraisers, attorneys,engineers, financiers, and academics. Establishedin 1936, the Institute has a presence in the Americas,Europe, and Asia Pacific regions, with members in84 countries. More information is available atuli.org. Follow ULIonX (formerly known as Twitter),Facebook,LinkedIn,andInstagram. ULI’s interdisciplinary membership represents allaspects of the industry, including developers, propertyowners, investors, architects, urban planners, public ABOUT THE ULI URBAN RESILIENCE PROGRAM ULI’s Urban Resilience program is focused on howbuildings, cities, and communities can be moreresilient to the impacts of climate change and otherenvironmental vulnerabilities. The program works with ULI members to provide technical assistance,advance knowledge through research, and catalyze theadoption of transformative practices for real estateand land use policy. RESEARCH CONTRIBUTORS AND PROCESS also worked with a team of ULI member advisers withexpertise in coastal resilience and related topics, aswell as with colleagues from ULI District and NationalCouncils to draft this report. A full list of the individualswho shared their knowledge and perspectives in focusgroups, nominated case studies, edited the text,provided supporting materials, and otherwise advisedon the creation of this report is provided in the ReportTeam and Acknowledgments sections. ULI is grateful to The JPB Foundation for its supportof this project. To better understand how coastal hazards affectreal estate and land use, ULI’s Urban Resilience programconducted focus group meetings in the Americas,Europe, and Asia Pacific. The focus groups includedmore than 70 participants, including real estatedevelopers, designers, public-sector officials, nonprofitleaders, and coastal resilience experts. The authors CONTENTS 3Key Takeaways 5Introduction 2Executive Summary 38Adaptation Strategies forCoastal Resilience 65The Policy Landscape forCoastal Resilience 6Coastal Risks and the BusinessCase for Coastal Resilience 7Understanding Coastal Risksand Their Impacts 39Risk Assessment and theResilient Design Process 66Best Practices in Public Policyfor Coastal Resilience 46Strategies for CoastalResilience 29The Business Case for Investingin Coastal Resilience 83Collaborating acrossStakeholders to AdvanceCoastal Resilience 56 Considerations for EffectiveStrategy Selectionand Implementation 92Project Profiles93Americas 111Conclusion 112Acknowledgments 114Notes 105Asia Pacific EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Surge: Coastal Resilience and Real Estateintroducesthe challenges associated with coastal hazards suchas sea level rise, coastal storms, flooding, erosion,and subsidence, and provides best practices for realestate and land use professionals, as well as publicofficials, to address them. The report includes sectionson the following: Approximately 40 percent of the world’s populationlives within 62 miles (100 km) of a coast, andmany of the world’s major cities and urban areaslie along coasts.1,2Coastal hazards, exacerbatedby climate change, are increasingly affecting thesecoastal communities and their populations.3Bybolstering the resilience of coastal assets and areasnow, we can help protect coastal real estate,communities, and ecosystems in the face of thesignificant coastal risks that are expected in thecoming years—and strengthen them in the process. •Coastal risks and their impa