每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:龙头季报提振情绪........................................................................................................................4国债期货:长端情绪仍偏谨慎........................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:市场维持稳定价格继续震荡..........................................................................................................6白糖:国际糖价震荡国内糖价上涨..............................................................................................................6油脂板块:油脂震荡运行................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货稳定,盘面高位震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力减少价格偏强运行..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:鸡蛋现货价格偏强养殖利润好转....................................................................................................10苹果:新果季有增产预期苹果期货易跌难涨............................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:外棉价格强势国内价格走强...................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:市场消息及基本面驱动,黑色整体走强..........................................................................................14双焦:震荡偏强运行......................................................................................................................................14铁矿:市场情绪好转,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:成本推动震荡偏强..........................................................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:地缘风险好转,金银震荡中枢抬升.................................................................................................17铂钯:联储降息再添变数贵金属震荡偏弱.................................................................................................18铜:短期关注上方压力..................................................................................................................................19氧化铝:基本面变动有限现货价格下跌.....................................................................................................20电解铝:美伊冲突边际缓和沪铝补涨........................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:地缘冲突局势边际好转..........................................................................................................21锌:获利内外正套分批止盈..........................................................................................................................21 铅:暂时观望..................................................................................................................................................22镍:供应扰动发酵,镍价偏强运行..............................................................................................................23不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................24工业硅:多单持有..........................................................................................................................................25多晶硅:长线回调后买入远月合约..............................................................................................................25碳酸锂:累库放缓助推锂价上行..................................................................................................................26锡:停火协议脆弱,锡价或窄幅震荡..........................................................................................................26 航运及碳排放 集运:美伊停火谈判或再次开启,关注货量淡转旺节奏..........................................................................28干散货运价:复活节之后工厂复工叠加船用油价格回调,近期干散货市场整体表现良好..................29碳排放:中国碳市场交易依旧平淡,欧盟批准针对保德斯三国高耗能补贴计划..................................30 能源化工 原油:美伊有望本周末重启谈判..................................................................................................................32沥青:厂库累库社库去库,成本波动加剧..................................................................................................32燃料油:新加坡燃料油库存反弹..................................................................................................................33LPG:地缘溢价小幅回吐................................................................................................................................34天然气:地缘局势反复,短期价格跟随市场情绪波动..............................................................................35PX&PTA:PX检修增多....................................................................................................................................36BZ&EB:纯苯港口库存去库...........................................................................................................................37乙二醇:海内外供应收紧...........................................................................