每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:科技行情继续火热........................................................................................................................4国债期货:多头止盈或有增多........................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:市场变动一般价格偏强运行..........................................................................................................6白糖:外糖价格收涨国内价格强势..............................................................................................................6油脂板块:多头情绪较浓,油脂高位震荡运行............................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货偏强,盘面高位震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力好转价格整体偏强..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:鸡蛋现货价格较高养殖利润较好....................................................................................................11苹果:西部部分产区突然降雪倒春寒或影响产量....................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:外棉价格回落郑棉价格上涨...................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:市场情绪好转,钢价延续上涨..........................................................................................................14双焦:震荡偏强,多单可继续持有..............................................................................................................14铁矿:终端需求低位,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:需求有压力,成本存支撑..............................................................................................................16 有色金属 贵金属:美伊谈判持续博弈沃什鹰派表态贵金属略有承压....................................................................17铜:中东局势缓和,铜价走高......................................................................................................................18氧化铝:西南短期事故减产关注现货价格走势.........................................................................................18电解铝:美方决定延长停火期限市场风险偏好好转.................................................................................19铸造铝合金:中东继续停火市场风险偏好预计好转.................................................................................20锌:获利多单继续持有..................................................................................................................................20铅:获利空单继续持有..................................................................................................................................21 镍:中东局势反复,镍价高位运行..............................................................................................................22不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................23工业硅:情绪面利多,空单做好保护..........................................................................................................23多晶硅:短期根据技术图形操作,注意回调风险,长线偏多思路..........................................................24碳酸锂:累库放缓助推锂价上行..................................................................................................................25锡:锡矿供应趋稳,短期窄幅震荡..............................................................................................................26 航运及碳排放 集运:美伊是否重启谈判尚未达成共识,宣涨情绪消化后关注落地幅度..............................................27干散货运价:散货市场延续上行但内部结构分化,美伊双方停火谈判仍陷僵局..................................28碳排放:中国碳市场大宗交易带动价格下跌,英国欲再谈与欧盟碳市场对接......................................29 能源化工 原油:谈判前景仍存不确定性......................................................................................................................32沥青:成本波动风险加剧..............................................................................................................................32燃料油:俄罗斯能源设施持续受袭..............................................................................................................33LPG:供需僵持,盘面降波走势....................................................................................................................34天然气:短期价格跟随地缘情绪波动..........................................................................................................35PX&PTA:原料压力增加,TA利润压缩........................................................................................................36BZ&EB:纯苯继续降负,去库幅度增加.......................................................................................................37乙二醇:华东港口库存去库..........................................................................................................................38短纤:下游新订单疲弱..................................................................................................................................38瓶片:库存持续去化...................................................................................................................