从农场到餐桌：2025年菲律宾农业食品经济与竞争力之路（英）

2026 ABOUT ASEAN FOODAND BEVERAGEALLIANCE ABOUT OXFORDECONOMICS CONTENTS Executive summary��������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 41�Introduction��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������82�The Economic Footprint of the PhilippinesAgri-Food Sector�������������������������������������������������������������������������������102.1 Defining and measuring the sector....................................................112.2 The sector’s total contribution to the economy..........................122.3 Economic linkages along the value chain......................................122.4 Implications for the Philippines economy......................................143�Outlook for the Philippines agri-food sector������������������������������ 153.1 Shifting conditions in global trade and investment...................163.2 Bracing for tomorrow’s trade shocks..............................................174�Building resilience and competitiveness����������������������������������� 234.1 Trade diversion could offer short-term opportunities.............234.2Building long-term competitiveness and resilienceto trade disruptions................................................................................244.3 Implications for the Philippines trade and industrial policy..285�Key Takeaways ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 286�Technical annex��������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 29 Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 as acommercial venture with Oxford University’sbusiness college to provide economic forecastingand modelling to UK companies and financialinstitutions expanding abroad. Since then, wehave become one of the world’s foremostindependent global advisory firms, providingreports, forecasts, and analytical tools on morethan 200 countries, 100 industries, and 8,000cities and regions. Our best-in-class globaleconomic and industry models and analyticaltools give us an unparalleled ability to forecastexternal market trends and assess their economic,social, and business impact. The ASEAN Food and Beverage Alliance(AFBA) is a group of national industryassociations that supports manufacturing,distribution, and the sale of a wide rangeof food and beverage products. Bybringing together the collective expertiseof leading industry representatives inthe region, AFBA serves as a trustedintermediary between the privatesector and policymakers in ASEAN. Thisalliance works to promote regulatoryharmonisation and provides guidanceand input on policies and standards thatimpact the food and beverage industryacross the region, thereby supporting thesector’s continued growth. Headquartered in Oxford, England, with regionalcentres in New York, London, Frankfurt, andSingapore, Oxford Economics has offices acrossthe globe in Belfast, Boston, Cape Town, Chicago,Dubai, Dublin, Hong Kong, Los Angeles, MexicoCity, Milan, Paris, Philadelphia, Stockholm, Sydney,Tokyo, and Toronto. We employ over 750 staff,including more than 450 professional economists,industry experts, and business editors—one of thelargest teams of macroeconomists and thoughtleadership specialists. Our global team is highlyskilled in a full range of research techniques andthought leadership capabilities from econometricmodelling, scenario framing, and economicimpact analysis to market surveys, case studies,expert panels, and web analytics. ABOUT FOODINDUSTRY ASIA Food Industry Asia (FIA) was formed in2010 to enable major food and beveragemanufacturers and ingredients suppliersto speak with one voice on complexissues such as health and nutrition, foodsafety, sustainability, and regulations andtrade. From its base in Singapore, FIAseeks to enhance the industry’s role asa trusted partner and collaborator in thedevelopment of science-based policyacross Asia. To do so means acting asa knowledge hub for Asia’s nationalindustry associations and affiliatedgroups, to support with their engagementof public bodies and other stakeholdersacross the region. Results presented here are based on information provided by third parties,upon which Oxford Economics has relied in producing its report in goodfaith. Any subsequent revision or update of those data will affect theassessments and projections shown. Oxford Economics is a key adviser to corporate,financial, and government decision-makers andthought leaders. Our worldwide client base nowcomprises over 2,500 international organisations,including leading multinational companies andfinancial institutions; key government bodiesand trade associations; and top universities,consultancies, and think tanks. To discuss the report further please contact: Chan Qi Yu:qychan@oxfordeconomics.com Oxford Economics6 Battery Road, #38-05, Singapore 049909Tel: +65 6850 0110 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The sector is operating in an increasingly complexglobal environment. Clim