抓住欧洲替代蛋白的经济机遇：从农场到工厂的繁荣

Delivering prosperity from farm to factory Authors and Interviews with 50 experts from variousstakeholder groups in the food and Systemiq core team Alex Andreoli, Nanne van Doorn,Rupert Simons Copyright Financial support This work (excluding photo rights) is madeavailable under the Creative CommonsAttribution 4.0 International license (CC BY4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0. If you adapt this work,please include the following disclaimeralong with the attribution: ‘This is an Thank you to the Good Food Institute Europe(GFI Europe) for commissioning this reportand acting as a key adviser and partner. The Sources used for this analysis The analysis is based on a range ofassumptions, gathered from: A review of scientific studies and industryreports – A comprehensive list of key sourcesis provided in the Technical Annex, while Citation If reproducing or referencing the content inthis report, please use the following citation:Systemiq (2026). Seizing the economic Executive summary We are on the cusp of a new era in how food is produced, and the EU has theopportunity to lead the way. Building a robust domestic alternative protein industrywould enable the EU to unlock major economic opportunities while strengthening its Alternative proteins as an industrial reliance on industrial animal agriculture andassociated feed imports, whilst delivering Alternative proteins involve usingplant-based, cultivated, precision andbiomass fermentation technologies torecreate the experience of meat, dairy, eggsand seafood. This approach could deliver The development of the EU’s alternativeprotein sectors is also a strategic industrialopportunity: their production draws oncapabilities deeply interconnected with theEU’s existing industrial base, from The benefits for domestic markets and trade With supportive policies, alternative proteins could meet 10% of the EU’s meat and 25% of its dairydemand by 2040. In our scenario, demand for alternative protein food and ingredients in the EU Beyond food end products, the sector would drive value chains in crops, feedstocks, bioreactors,and processing equipment – areas where the EU already has strong industrial capabilities. When thefull value chain is accounted for, the total market opportunity could reach€79 billion,comparable Enabling Factor 1: Growing the marketfor legumes and pulses. Employment potential & GVA By 2040, alternative proteins couldcontribute€111 billionto the EU's economyeach year by creating demand across thesupply chain. Within 15 years, the sector A strong domestic plant-based meat and dairysector would boost demand for food-gradelegumes and pulses, which could serve as anenabling condition for farmers interested in Strengthening EU arable agriculture Enabling Factor 2: Increasing Alternative proteins could create threeenabling factors for strengthening the self-sufficiency in high-protein crops. A shift towards alternative proteins could helpshrink the EU’s protein trade deficit in twoways: by supporting an expansion of domestic Enabling Factor 3: Moving from feed tofood-grade crops. A scaled alternative protein sector in Europecould create demand for cereals, sugar andstarch crops, pulses, soy, and oilseeds asfeedstock, offsetting the decline in demand for Credit: Planted Unlocking the opportunity 1. Policy and regulation rapid scale-up is possible when industry andpolicy move in sync. A more predictable, harmonized, andtransparent regulatory framework is needed tospur innovation and increase investor 3. Investment Public investment will be essential forunlocking privatefinance. Targeted annualpublic support for both R&D (€690 million) andscale-up (€720 million) can bring alternative 2. Infrastructure The current production base needs to scale upthrough greenfield development and Call to action The EU has aunique opportunityto lead global protein diversification.With coordinated action onregulation, infrastructure, andinvestment, alternative proteins can create major benefits for the EUeconomy by 2040. The question is not whether the EU can afford to Table of Contents Authors and AcknowledgementExecutive summary 1. IntroductionThree pathways for growth 2. The economic potential of alternative proteins in the EU 2.1 Growing the domestic and export markets2.2 Employment potential2.3 Contribution to the EU economy 3. Potential implications for EU arable agriculture 3.1 Macro trends reshaping agriculture3.2 How alternative proteins could enable a more resilient arable agricultural sectorEnabling Factor 1 4. Unlocking the opportunity 4.1 Regulatory barriers 1. Introduction We are on the cusp of a new era in how food is produced, and the EU has theopportunity to lead the way. Alternative proteins are emerging as a powerful tool todiversify protein production, creating new industrial and arable farming opportunities Alternative proteins use plant-based, cultivated,biomass and precision fermentation ingredie