向上奔跑：增长、就业和对生产力的追求。菲律宾经济增长与就业报告（英）2025

2025 The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet: www.worldbank.orgSome rights reserved.This work is a product of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do notnecessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent.The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work and doesnot assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to theuse of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors,denominations, links/footnotes and other information shown in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of TheWorld Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Thecitation of works authored by others does not mean the World Bank endorses the views expressed by those authors orthe content of their works.Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges andimmunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.Rights and PermissionsThe material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, thiswork may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given.Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: “World Bank. 2025. Running Uphill: Growth, Jobs, and the Quest forProductivity. Philippines Growth and Jobs Report. © World Bank.”Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, TheWorld Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org.Sample credit for a non-WB image: © Ami Vitale/Panos Pictures. Used with the permission of Ami Vitale/Panos Pictures.Further permission required for reuse.Sample credit for a WB image: © Curt Carnemark/World Bank. Further permission required for reuse. CONTENTSAcknowledgementsAbbreviations and AcronymsExecutive SummaryPrefaceThe ReportThe FrameworkOverviewIntroduction: Growth, jobs, and the path aheadFour features of growth and job creation in the PhilippinesCharting the path forward: Targeting 7 percent growth andquality job creationProjected outcomes and the roadmapChapter 1: Macroeconomic Features of Growthand JobsPatterns of Growth and JobsPolicy FrameworkPotential outputGrowth ProjectionsChapter 2: Microeconomic Features of Growthand JobsPatterns of productivity growthThe allocative challengeThe inward shiftPolicy deep divesChapter 3: Spatial Patterns of Growth and JobsSubnational jobs dynamics and growth in the PhilippinesMobility, connectivity and decentralization to acceleratesubnational developmentForeword IIIIIIVIVIIIVIIIX113101516162428293030313335404044 Chapter 4: Digital Technologies, Jobs andProductivityDigital technologiesDeterminants of technology adoptionDigital platformsDisruptive technologies and jobs: Artificial intelligenceChapter 5: Climate Resilience and FirmsFirms' resilience to climate change and extremeweather eventsChapter 6: Policy RoadmapIntroductionPolicy recommendationsFrom recommendations to resultsResultsConclusionStandardized TablesStandardized Employment TableStandardized Projections TableReferences||I8183848569635362636055537472706979 ACKNOWLEDGMENTSThis report was prepared under the guidance of Manuela Ferro (Vice President, EAPVP), Pablo Saavedra(Vice President, GGEVP), Zafer Mustafaoglu (Division Director, EAPMB), Ndiame Diop (Vice President,AFEVP), Lalita Moorty (Regional Practice Director, EEADR), Manuela Francisco (Global Director, EMFDR),Lars Moller (Practice Manager, EEAM2), Ilias Skamnelos (Practice Manager, EEAF2) by a core teamconsisting of Gonzalo Varela (Lead Economist, EEADR), Jaime Frias (co-TTL, Senior Economist, EEAF2),Ralph van Doorn (Lead Economist, Program Leader, EEADR), Federico Ganz (Consultant, EEAM2),Andreas Eberhard (Senior Economist, EMFJG), Ildrim Valley (Public Sector Specialist, EEAG1), Liliana Sousa(Senior Economist, EEAPV), Irene Arzadon (E T Consultant, EEAPV), Chenyu Mao (Young Professional,EEAM2). Chapter 1 was led by Gonzalo Varela and Federico Ganz, with inputs from Liliana Sousa, AndreasEberhard, Kevin Cruz (Economist, EEAM2), Remrick Patagan (Economist, EEAM2), Patrizia Benedicto(Research Analyst, EEAM2), Lazar Milivojevic (Economist, EMFJG), and Thomas Mahoney (E T Consultant,EMFJG). Chapter 2 was led by Jaime Frias and Gonzalo Varela, with inputs from Irene Arzadon, ElwynDavies (Senior Economist, ETIIC), Arlan Brucal (Economist, ETIIC), Francesca de Nicola (Senior Economist,CERER), Jonathan Timmis (Senior Economist, EAPCE), Denisse Pierola (Senior Economist, ETIMT), SeiduDauda (Senior Economist, ETIMT), Gerlin Catangui (Senior Economist, ETI