2024年全球小型电网市场状况报告

MINI-GRIDSMARKET REPORT Acknowledgements This report was authored by Elena Adamopoulou, Iro Sala, Adrian Pilco and Christopher Lewis of EconomicConsulting Associates (ECA), and Kathryn Fluehr of Odyssey Energy Solutions. This report was commissioned on behalf of the Mini-Grids Partnership by the SEforALL team, led by IreneCalvé Saborit, Niklas Hayek, Bala Viswanathan, Miquilina Selasie Anagbah, Maja Grsic, Neil Claydon, NicolásLarrañaga and Anja Barradas, who worked in close collaboration with ECA. This report received insightful comments from external peer reviewers. We would like to thank BernardTenenbaum, James Knuckles, Chris Greacen, Sylvain Boursier, Nicolas Allien (World Bank), BenjaminCurnier (AfDB), Steven Hunt (FCDO), Churchill Agutu (UNDP), Grace Perkins and Amon Mwadime (AMDA),Nishant Narayan (SEforALL), Michael Feldner and Rebecca Symington (GET.Invest Finance Catalyst), IevaIndriunaite (Camco Energy) and Agustin Cabo (Power for All) and the team at the Carbon Trust for theirvaluable feedback and expert comments. This Mini-Grids Partnership Report was produced with funding from UK aid from the UK government viathe Transforming Energy Access platform. We also thank those who were interviewed and provided inputs into this study: Benjamin Curnier (AfDB),Jon Exel and Tatia Lemondzhava (World Bank), Dennis Nderitu (GEAPP), Jessica Stiefler (MIGA), VeitGoehringer, Jasper Haerig, Soumana Kailou and Carlos Miro (GIZ), Giorgia Pasqualetto, Ben Hartley, IngridRohrer, Anita Otubu, Nishant Narayan, Dolapo Oluwatosin Adeosun, Louis Tavernier and Abdul Yakubu(SEforALL), Michael Feldner, Maurice Pigaht and Rebecca Symington (GET.Invest Finance Catalyst), AgustinCarbo and Carolina Ines Pan (Power for All), Carol Zulu (UNDP), Miriam Atuya and Tombo Banda(CrossBoundary Innovation Lab), Frank Bergh (NRECA), Debajit Palit (NTPC School of Business, India), Elenavan Hove (ASU), Stewart Hicks (Bamboo Capital), Jean-Denis Collin (ElectriFI), Nicole Poindexter (Energicity),Clifford Aron (Greenmax Capital), Marie Testard (Engie Energy Access), James Todd (Oikocredit), SarahAlexander(SNV),Torsten Schreiber(Africa GreenTech),Kule Hamilton (Nuru Energy),Trey Jarrard(Renewvia Solar Africa), Idris Tayebi (Winch Energy), Roger Sallent (Trama TecnoAmbiental), Olivier Dumont(1pwafrica), Vijay Dongare (Sugar Corporation of Uganda Limited), Omozaphue Akalumhe (PriVida Energy)and Ignatius Anayawa (GEI Power). This report was edited by Justin French-Brooks. FUNDED BY Disclaimer:This material has been funded by UK aid from the UK government; however the views expressed do notnecessarily reflect the UK government's official policies. This report (including any enclosures and attachments) has been prepared for the exclusive use and benefit ofSEforALLandsolely for the purpose for which it is provided. Unless we provide express prior written consent, no part of this report shouldbe reproduced, distributed, or communicated to any third party. We do not accept any liability if this report is used for analternative purpose from which it is intended, nor to any third party in respect of this report. CONTENTS TABLES, FIGURES AND BOXES ............................................................................................. 5ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................................................................... 8EXECUTIVE SUMMARY........................................................................................................ 10 1.1Background .................................................................................................................... 191.2Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 23 2. MINI-GRID MARKET TRENDS ......................................................................................... 24 2.1General Market Trends ................................................................................................. 262.2Enabling Environment Trends...................................................................................... 292.3Business Model Innovations ........................................................................................ 462.4Financing Trends ........................................................................................................... 592.5Technology Trends ........................................................................................................ 762.6Economics Trends ......................................................................................................... 87 3.1Measuring Impact within the SDG Framework.......................................................... 973.2Customer-Focused Approaches to Measuring Impact ........................................... 1013.3Measuring Progress in Donor Deployment.............................................................. 103 4. MARKET OUTLOOK ...