新房成交环比增三成,二手房成交环比微升[Table_ReportDate]2023年12月3日 江宇辉地产行业首席分析师执业编号:S1500522010002联系电话:+86 18621759430邮箱:jiangyuhui@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 行业研究 摘要: 地产市场监测:本周(2023/11/25-2023/12/01)新房成交数据:30个大中城新房成交面积326.10万平方米,同比上升13.56%,环比上升36.56%。15城二手房成交面积205.88万平方米,同比上升41.91%,环比上升1.84%。监测13个重点城市库存面积11941.73万平方米,环比上升1.00%,去化周期102.24周,较上周延长2.17周。上周(2023/11/20-2023/11/26)100大中城市土地成交建面5162.36万平方米,同比上升15.27%,环比上升70.43%;溢价率为4.42%。 房企融资情况:本周(2023/11/27-2023/12/03)房企境内新发债总额为120.88亿元,同比下降18.63%,环比下降30.29%;债务总偿还量为167.62亿元,同比上升90.64%,环比上升34.13%;净融资额-46.74亿元。 风险因素:政策风险:房地产调控政策收紧或放松不及预期。市场风险:房地产市场销售情况恢复程度不及预期,行业资金压力缓解不及预期。 信达证券股份有限公司CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD北京市西城区闹市口大街9号院1号楼邮编:100031 目录 1.地产政策追踪....................................................................................................................41.1地产政策回顾..........................................................................................................42.一周行情回顾....................................................................................................................52.1房地产板块..............................................................................................................52.2物业板块.................................................................................................................52.3重点公司公告..........................................................................................................63.地产市场监测....................................................................................................................93.1新房成交数据..........................................................................................................93.2二手房成交数据......................................................................................................93.3土地市场情况........................................................................................................103.4库存及去化.............................................................................................................114.房企融资情况..................................................................................................................134.1房企融资详情........................................................................................................13风险因素..............................................................................................................................15 图表目录 图表1:本周政策回顾..........................................................................................................4图表2:本周房地产板块行情走势(%)..............................................................................5图表3:本周申万全行业板块涨跌幅(%)...........................................................................5图表4:本周地产股涨幅前10名(%)................................................................................5图表5:本周地产股跌幅前10名(%)................................................................................5图表6:本周物业板块行情走势(%)..................................................................................6图表7:本周恒生全行业板块涨跌幅(%)...........................................................................6图表8:本周物业股涨幅前10名(%)................................................................................6图表9:本周物业股跌幅前10名(%)................................................................................6图表10:本周重点公司公告.................................................................................................6图表11:30大中城市商品房成交面积及同比环比增速.........................................................9图表12:按城市能级划分商品房成交面积同比增速(%)...................................................9图表13:按城市能级划分商品房成交面积环比增速(%)...................................................9图表14:2023年10月新建住宅价格和同比及环比增速......................................................9图表15:15城二手房成交面积及同比和环比增速................................................................9图表16:按城市能级分二手房成交面积同比增速(%).......................................................9图表17:按城市能级划分二手房成交面积环比增速(%).................................................10图表18:2023年10月二手房价格指数同环比增速(%).................................................10图表19:100大中城土地成交面积及同比增速...................................................................10图表20:上周按城市能级划分土地成交面积、增速............................................................10图表21:100大中城土地成交楼面均价及溢价率................................................................11图表22:上周按城市能级划分成交楼面均价及溢价率.........................................................11图表23:15城库存面积及去化周期....................................................................................11图表24:一线城市库存面积及去化周期..............................................................................11图表25:二线城市库存面积及去化周期..............................................................................11图表26:三线城市库存面积及去化周期..............................................................................11图表27:重点城市库存和去化周期情况.............................................................................12图表28:境内新发债规模及同比增速.................................................................................13图表29:债务偿还规模及债务净融资规模..................