中国碳中和追踪2025年报告 中国省级地区绿色与低碳转型：十年回顾（英）

China Carbon Neutrality Tracker (CCNT) Green and Low-Carbon Transition in China'sProvincial Level Regions: A Decade in Review ABOUT IGDP The Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP), established in Beijing in 2014, is a non-profit think tank dedicated to promoting greenand low-carbon development. Since its inception, iGDP has provided policy-relevant analytical insight on China's green and low-carbon practices AUTHORS YangLiiGDPDeputyExecutive Director for Research and Programs, Senior Program Director for Energy TransitionZhuTongxiniGDPProjectCoordinator for Beyond Carbon, AnalystSongManjiaoiGDPAssistantAnalyst ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thankZhou NanandZhang Jingjingfrom the University of California, Berkeley, for their valuable technical input on the research methodology We would like to express our gratitude toChen Ying, Researcher at the Institute for Eco-Civilization at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;Liao Cuiping, Researcher at the Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, Chinese Academy of Sciences; andXi Xiping, Director of the Energy Due to time and resource constraints, it was not possible to incorporate all of the valuable recommendations provided by the experts. We willcontinue to refine and improve our analysis in future research. We also thank our colleagues at iGDP:Hu Min,Chen Meian,Wang Yanhui, andLyu Contact|ccnt@igdp.cnDate|June 2026Citation|Yang Li, Zhu Tongxin, Song Manjiao & Li Xindi. (2026). CCNT 2025 Annual Report: Green and Low-Carbon Transition in China'sProvincial Level Regions: A Decade in Review, Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP) Disclaimer|The findings, interpretations, and conclusions presented in this report are those of the authors and are intended to contributeto discussion on the topics addressed. They do not necessarily reflect the views of the authors' affiliated institutions or the Contents I. BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW OF THE ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK·······································4 II. REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE: STRUCTURAL DIVERGENCE IN CHINA'S LOW-CARBON TRANSITION·····6 1. Economic-Geographic Dimension·························································································72. Economic Development Stage Dimension·············································································83. National Major Regional Strategy Dimension········································································94. Regional Energy Development Positioning Dimension·························································115. Summary·····························································································································12 1. 2022 Subnational LOGIC Performance Analysis····································································132. Subnational LOGIC Score Changes Across Provinces over a Decade·····································143. Ranking Changes for Key Provinces Over a Decade······························································154. Distribution of Transition Outcomes and Growth Rates Across 30 Provinces·······················155. Leading Provinces by Sub-Categories··················································································166. Changes in the Distribution of Sub-Category Scores···························································17 IV. CASE STUDIES OF KEY REGIONS················································································19 Guangdong Province – Pioneer Economy················································································20Jiangxi Province – Leading Economy························································································23Shanxi Province – Catching-Up Economy················································································27Hainan Province – Developing Economy··················································································31 APPENDIX 2: REGIONAL CLASSIFICATION·········································································38 Executive Summary As China's "dual carbon" targets have been enshrined as national strategy and the "1+N" policy framework continues totake shape, the country's green and low-carbon transition has moved into a phase of accelerated implementation at the subnational level. Given China's vast territory and the significant differences among provincial level regions1in economy, This report applies Subnational Low-Carbon and Green Index for China (Subnational LOGIC), an indicator tool developedby iGDP, to track and quantitatively assess the low-carbon transition of 30 provincial level regions between 2013 and As the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan (15th FYP) period (2026–2030), 2026 will set the trajectory for a planning cyclethat will determine whether China stays on course for both basic socialist modernization, a key national goal, and its Tracking 30 provincial level regions from 2013 to 2022, Subnati