为未来做好准备：数字安全前瞻的支柱

I N S I G H TR E P O R TJ U N E2 0 2 6 Contents Foreword3 Executive summary4 Introduction5 1Drivers of change in the digital environment6 1.1AI and automation71.2Synthetic media and identity81.3Immersive and always-on sensing91.4Shifts to private/semi-private spaces101.5Regulatory evolution11 2Digital safety foresight pillars12 2.1Frame and govern132.2Sense152.3Model172.4Assess readiness192.5Install early warning212.6Synthesize232.7Implementationincontext26 3.1Pathwaymatrix29Pathway 1: Known and covered30Pathway 2: Novel/uncertain coverage31Pathway 3: Not covered31Pathway 4: Unpredictable/unknown32 Conclusion34 Contributors35 Endnotes37 Disclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forumas a contribution to a project, insight area or interaction.The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressedherein are a result of a collaborative process facilitatedand endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whoseresults do not necessarily represent the views of the WorldEconomic Forum, nor the entirety of its Members, Partnersor other stakeholders. ©2026 World Economic Forum. All rights reserved. Nopart of this publication may be reproduced or transmittedin any form or by any means, including photocopying andrecording, or by any information storage and retrieval system. Generative AI tools were used to support aspects ofdrafting and/or analysis. All outputs were independentlyreviewed, verified and approved by the authors. Foreword Julie Inman GranteSafety Commissioner,Office of the eSafetyCommissioner, Australia David SullivanExecutive Director,Digital Trust and SafetyPartnership Agustina CallegariInitiatives Lead, TechnologyGovernance, Safety andInternational Cooperation,World Economic Forum Cathy LiHead, Centre for AIExcellence; Member ofthe Executive Committee,World Economic Forum The digital safety foresight pillars presented in thisreport – 1) Frame and govern, 2) Sense, 3) Model,4) Assess readiness, 5) Install early warningand 6) Synthesize – structure best practices fororganizations to conduct foresight. These pillarswere developed through extensive consultation withpractitioners and experts across the digital safetyecosystem. The report builds on those pillars andoutlines four response pathways to help organizationsdetermine the next steps based on foresightoutputs – such as tightening existing protections,testing and learning, building new safeguards andestablishing tripwires where uncertainty remains high. In a rapidly shifting digital environment, regulators,civil society, technology companies and others areall grappling with the need not only to respond totoday’s risks but also to anticipate and prepare toaddress future harms. The purpose of this insight report is to providea clear and practical approach to digital safetyforesight work. Organizations already conductforms of foresight. This report seeks to helpmove such work beyond abstract scanning orspeculative discussion to the capacity to anticipate,interpret and act on change in specific contexts.Foresight, in this context, is not about predictingthe future with certainty, but strengtheningreadiness and creating the structures, signalsand decision processes that enable institutions torespond more coherently. This supports a safety-by-design approach that invests in risk mitigationat the front end, supporting organizations toembed user protections from the get-go andavoid costly retrofits. The use of foresight in digital safety plays a key partin stopping harms from growing and spreading.As harms can move across services, sectors andborders, collaboration is essential. This reportcontinues to advance the Global Coalition forDigital Safety’s goal of strengthening organizations’preparedness and effectiveness in digital safetywork, while contributing to a more coordinated,resilient and anticipatory digital safety ecosystem. Executive summary Combining six pillars and four responsepathways, this report provides a practicalguide to foresight in organizations. Preparing for shifts in the digital environment hasalways been critical for organizations, but it isespecially urgent now as new technologies – suchas agentic AI, genAI and the convergence ofwearables and immersive platforms (VR/AR) – createnew vectors for harm that adversaries are quick toadopt and exploit. Foresight helps business teams,particularly trust and safety personnel, to anticipateemerging harms before they scale and to planresponses with the expectation that some harmswill still succeed. Organizations already use foresightin this way, but some, especially those with limitedcapacity, lack a dedicated process or mechanism.This foresight report builds on the Global Coalition forDigital Safety’s 2023 reportToolkit for Digital SafetyDesign Interventions and Innovations: Typology ofOnline Harmsand the 2025 reportThe InterventionJourney: A Roadmap to Effective Digital SafetyMeasures. The foresight pillars presented here distilbest practices from consult