为未来做好准备：数字安全前瞻的支柱

I N S I G H TR E P O R T Images:Getty Images Contents Foreword Executive summary Introduction 1Drivers of change in the digital environment 1.1AI and automation1.2Synthetic media and identity1.3Immersive and always-on sensing 2Digital safety foresight pillars 2.1Frame and govern2.2Sense2.3Model2.4Assess readiness 3Response pathways 3.1PathwaymatrixPathway 1: Known and coveredPathway 2: Novel/uncertain coverage Conclusion Contributors Endnotes Disclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forumas a contribution to a project, insight area or interaction.The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressedherein are a result of a collaborative process facilitatedand endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose ©2026 World Economic Forum. All rights reserved. Nopart of this publication may be reproduced or transmittedin any form or by any means, including photocopying and Generative AI tools were used to support aspects ofdrafting and/or analysis. All outputs were independently Foreword David SullivanExecutive Director,Digital Trust and Safety Julie Inman GranteSafety Commissioner,Office of the eSafety Agustina CallegariInitiatives Lead, TechnologyGovernance, Safety and Cathy Li Head, Centre for AIExcellence; Member of In a rapidly shifting digital environment, regulators,civil society, technology companies and others areall grappling with the need not only to respond to The digital safety foresight pillars presented in thisreport – 1) Frame and govern, 2) Sense, 3) Model,4) Assess readiness, 5) Install early warningand 6) Synthesize – structure best practices fororganizations to conduct foresight. These pillarswere developed through extensive consultation withpractitioners and experts across the digital safetyecosystem. The report builds on those pillars and The purpose of this insight report is to providea clear and practical approach to digital safetyforesight work. Organizations already conductforms of foresight. This report seeks to helpmove such work beyond abstract scanning orspeculative discussion to the capacity to anticipate,interpret and act on change in specific contexts.Foresight, in this context, is not about predicting The use of foresight in digital safety plays a key partin stopping harms from growing and spreading.As harms can move across services, sectors andborders, collaboration is essential. This reportcontinues to advance the Global Coalition forDigital Safety’s goal of strengthening organizations’ Executive summary Combining six pillars and four responsepathways, this report provides a practical Preparing for shifts in the digital environment hasalways been critical for organizations, but it isespecially urgent now as new technologies – suchas agentic AI, genAI and the convergence ofwearables and immersive platforms (VR/AR) – createnew vectors for harm that adversaries are quick toadopt and exploit. Foresight helps business teams,particularly trust and safety personnel, to anticipateemerging harms before they scale and to planresponses with the expectation that some harmswill still succeed. Organizations already use foresightin this way, but some, especially those with limited Install early warning:Translates modellinginto ongoing awareness and support effortsin ensuring readiness. Synthesize:Consolidates outputs from theother pillars into a single, decision-readyview of an emerging harm. The pillars are not intended to be a prescriptiveset of steps, but rather a guide to the elementsmost important for effective digital safety foresight.Based on the outputs of the pillars, the report also 1Known and covered:Where organizationstighten existing protections. 2Novel/uncertain coverage:Where teamstest, learn and decide whether the 3Not covered:Where new safeguardsshould be built before exposure scales. Frame and govern:Sets the question, Sense:Expands an organization’s field ofview beyond what is already measured,already debated internally or already visible 4Unpredictable/unknown:Wheretripwires, sentinels and strong redresshelp organizations act cautiously Through the digital safety foresight pillars andresponse pathways, this report provides afoundational structured approach for foresightwithin organizations and ensures such work Model:Turns signals of change into decision-relevant explanations of how harms could Assess readiness:Tests whether anorganization can credibly prevent, detect,respond to and learn from the kinds of Introduction To combat potential threats in a fast-developing digital world, organizations Today’s online world is changing constantly. Rapidshifts in AI, synthetic media, private messagingservices and immersive digital environments arereshaping how people influence, how trust isfostered and how quickly harmful behaviour canspread. These shifts widen the opportunities forharms, such as fraud, coercion, harassment,grooming, abuse-of-service and privacy-linkedexploitation. The harms may arise through visible