坦桑尼亚经济更新，2026年2月：特别主题-投资基础教育，为坦桑尼亚的坚实基础和未来

1 © 2026The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet:www.worldbank.org Some rights reserved. This work is a product of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work donot necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work anddoes not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respectto the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors,denominations, links/footnotes and other information shown in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges andimmunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of itsknowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution tothis work is given. Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: “World Bank. 2026. Tanzania Economic Update. February 2026.©World Bank.” Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, TheWorld Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. Contents Executive Summary...................................................................................................................6Special Theme: Strengthening Tanzania’s Future by Investing in Quality Basic Education.....8Recent Economic Developments..............................................................................................10Economic Activity..................................................................................................................10Monetary Policy and Inflation................................................................................................17Fiscal and Debt Developments..............................................................................................19Balance of Payments Position...............................................................................................24Zanzibar Macroeconomic Assessment..................................................................................26Macroeconomic Outlook and Risks.......................................................................................29Strengthening Tanzania’s Future by Investing in Quality Basic Education.................................33Basic Education and Its Prospects: An Emerging Assessment..............................................33Tanzania’s Economic Progress and Workforce Dynamics.....................................................34 Acronyms and Abbreviations OECDOrganisationfor EconomicCo-operation andDevelopmentPPGPublic and publiclyguaranteedPPPPurchasing power parityPPTPupil-teacher ratioQ1Quarter 1REERReal effective exchangerateSADCSouthern AfricanDevelopment Community EPZExport Processing ZoneFXForeign exchangeFYFinancial YearGDPGross domestic product SEZSpecial Economic ZoneSGRStandard gauge railwaySSASub-Saharan AfricaTEUTanzania EconomicUpdateTISEZATanzania Investment andSpecial Economic ZonesAuthoritytrnTrillionTSHTanzania ShillingUMICUpper-middle incomecountryUNUnited NationsUS$United States of AmericaDollar GHGGreenhouse gases GNIGross national incomeGoTGovernment of TanzaniaH1Half-year 1 IBCMInterbank cash marketIMFInternational Monetary Fund JNHPPJulius Nyerere Hydroelectric Power ProjectLCULocal currency unit mnmillionMOESTMinistry of Education, Science, and TechnologyMPOWorld Bank Macro-poverty OutlookMTDSMedium-term debt management strategyMWhMegawatt-hoursNBSNational Bureau of Statistics, TanzaniaNEERNominal effective exchange rateOCGSOffice of the Chief Government Statistician, ZanzibarODAOfficial development assistance Acknowledgements TheTanzania Economic Update(TEU)is a biannual report analyzing recent economicdevelopments in Tanzania and covering a Special Theme. This February 2026 edition of the TEUwas prepared by a team mainly from the World Bank’s Economic Policy Global Practice andEducation Global Practice, comprising of Hayaan Diriye Abdi Nur (E T Consultant, EAEM1, TaskTeam Leader), Lekinyi Ngariapusi Mollel (Senior Economist, EAEM1, co-Task Team Leader), MariShojo(Senior Education Specialist,HAEE1),Kaboko Mathus Nkahiga(Senior EducationSpecialist, HAEE1), Josephine Emmanuel Msambichaka(Senior Private Sector DevelopmentSpecialist, EAEF1),Ernest Ruzindaza (Senior Agriculture Economist, SAEA3), Niklas Bühren(Senior Economist, EAEPV),Revocatus Washington Paul (ET Consultant, EAEPV), Jee-PengTan(Consultan