吉布提经济监测，2026年春季：劳动力市场结构和从学校到工作的过渡

DJIBOUTI Labor Market Structureand the School-to-WorkTransition Spring 2026 Djibouti EconomicMonitor Labor Market Structure andtheSchool‑to‑Work Transition Spring 2026 Middle East and North Africa Region © 2026 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank1818 H Street NWWashington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusionsexpressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or thegovernments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work and does notassume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to the use of orfailure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and otherinformation shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legalstatus of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunitiesof The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, thiswork may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The WorldBank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. Cover photos: Anas Janahi/Shutterstock (top), Torsten Pursche/Shutterstock (left), PX Media/Shutterstock (middle), MatyasRehak/Shutterstock (bottom). Further permission required for reuse. TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms and Abbreviations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .viAcknowledgements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .viiExecutive Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ixRésumé. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xiiiالموجز التنفيذي. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xviiIntroduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xix 1.Recent Economic Developments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 1.1.Economic activity moderated in 2025 but remained resilient amid heightened global uncertainty.. . . .11.2.Inequality has barely budged since 2017, and in the post-COVID era growth has translated intoonlymarginal gains in employment.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61.3.Inflation remains subdued in 2025, shielded by the currency board despite globaltrade uncertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71.4.Fiscal discipline has been maintained and needs to be consolidated. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81.5.Debt burden is easing, but the trade-offs are growing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .121.6.External accounts have improved and remain sustainable. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .151.7.The monetary sector remains broadly adequate but warrants close monitoring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .151.8.Commercial banks gained momentum in 2025; however, safety buffers are starting tofray. . . . . . . . .16 2.Medium-Term Outlook and Risks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 2.1.Short- and medium-term prospects remain favorable with persistent vulnerabilities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .172.1.1.Baselinescenario. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .172.1.2.Major risks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 3.Labor Market structure: Unemployment, Gender Gaps, and Skills Mismatch. . . . . . . . . . . . . .213.1.High inactivity, unemployment, and gender gaps. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .