2021年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2021年第四季度）

EUROPEAN TOURISM:TRENDS & PROSPECTSQuarterly report (Q4/2021) A report produced forthe European Travel Commission Copyright © 2022European Travel Commission EUROPEAN TOURISM: TRENDS & PROSPECTS (Q4/2021) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accurately andclearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we encourage dis-tribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link toETC's corporate website,referring The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do notimply the expression of Data sources: This report includes data from theTourMIS database,STR,IATA,Eurocontrol,ForwardKeys,UNWTO, andTransparent. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided byTourism Economics and are forinterpretation by users according to their needs. Published by the European Travel Commission Ruedu Marché aux Herbes, 61,1000 Brussels, Belgium Website:www.etc-corporate.orgEmail:info@visiteurope.comISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) on behalf of the ETC Market Intelligence Group. Cover:Skiing and Winter Wonderland in The Alps, France.Image ID:2112731474Copyright:Samantha Jane Harvey FOREWORD 2021 was expected to be the year of tourism recovery, before the arrival of the Delta and the Omicronvariants over the summer and winter seasons respectively. As weenter the third year of the pan-demic, uncertainty remains high due to its unpredictable nature and evolution. Over the last twoyears, Covid-19 has dictated the course of the global tourism economy. However, the impact of thislingering uncertainty could be gradually losing momentum as destinations and consumers increas-ingly seek stability and adapt to a new normal. Covid-19 protocols are here to stay and will be key for 2022 will be a year of further adaptation to the realities brought about by the pandemic and emergingtourism trends. A year in which we in the tourismindustry continue to adapt and learn from experi-ences and feedback from travel consumers in the Covid-era. The future of leisure and business travel,the future of work, the climate emergency, support for local tourism economies and societies, and The Covid-19 disruption exposed how vulnerable the sectoris to external threats. Covid-19 may notbe the only phenomenon challenging the tourism sector in the years to come. For this reason and toallow travel to emerge stronger from the global pandemic, all tourism stakeholders are called to workcollaboratively, and build a sector that is much more resilient to future crises, more sustainable and TheEuropean Tourism Trends & Prospectsquarterly report provides a thorough analysis ofkey eco-nomic and tourism trends in Europe and in key outbound markets. Based on the latest data available, the most recent edition monitors the European tourism recovery during the winter months, whichwas dampened by the emergence of the Omicron variant and the re-imposition of travel restrictionsand lockdowns. Jennifer IduhETC Executive Unit TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD......................................................................................................................................4TABLE OF CONTENTS.....................................................................................................................5EXECUTIVESUMMARY....................................................................................................................61. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2021...............................................................................92. GLOBAL TOURISM FORECAST SUMMARY...............................................................................153. RECENT INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE.......................................................................................16AIR TRANSPORT.............................................................................................................................16ACCOMMODATION........................................................................................................................204. SPECIAL FEATURE: TRANSATLANTIC RECOVERY..................................................................22 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OMICRON DISRUPTION, A TEMPORARY PHENOMENON WITH LITTLE IMPACT? In 2021, strong vaccination coverage in Europe, the EUDigital Covid-19Certificate and the easing oftravel restrictions which allowed the release of large-pent up demand, set the grounds for tourismrevival. However, the emergence of the Omicron variant at the year-end weighed on this recovery ForeignVisits and Overnights to Select Destinations Year-to-date datainformsestimatesofa 62% decrease in tourist arrivals to Europe in 2021 over 2019levels. The outlook, however, remains positive, with travel demand projected tobejust 20% belowpre-pandemic levels in 2022,fuelledby domestic and intra-European t