2025人工智能发展白皮书

The White Book on the Development ofArtificial Intelligence in 2025 帿㖕䋑➃䊨兰腊遤⚌⼸⠔帿㖕䋑䫏䱽侨㶶猰䪮剣ꣳⰖ぀2025䎃5剢 The White Book on the Development ofArtificial Intelligence➃䊨兰腊〄㾝涯淼⛼ 帿㖕䋑➃䊨兰腊遤⚌⼸⠔ծ帿㖕䋑䫏䱽侨㶶猰䪮剣ꣳⰖ぀/絆絉綘塔 ⚺綘龥⚽蒁 綘塔➃プ桬鳋褐Ⱎ蔉㺋千嵞剎뚱꣥⚸ꩽ 䎸鎊 ➃䊨兰腊姻⟄⵸䨾劢剣涸鸟䏞ꅾ㝕Ⰼ锋猰䪮ծ絑崸♸爢吐呔㽷կ➢䪮助㛇䏠涸鶛去⼮紩ⵌ❡⚌䎾欽涸帿䏞輑ざ➢爢吐屛锐涸兰腊⻊鲮㘗ⵌ〳䭯絯封㾝騟䖈涸确程➃䊨兰腊䊺䧭⚹䲀⸓倝♧鲰猰䪮ꬠㄐㄤ❡⚌尊ꬠ涸呍䗱䒸空կ劥涯淼⛼用駈Ⰼ锋錠ꅿ鸑鵂Ⱃ㣐眜畎禹絡䚍帿Ⰶ灇瑕Ⰼ꬗ッ梡➃䊨兰腊곭㚖䪮助怵鵳ծ❡⚌尊ꬠ♸爢吐䕧ㆇ⚹靀罏⺠⹗ⴀ♧䌴➃䊨兰腊封㾝涸Ⰼ㽷歘⽷կ 涯淼⛼껷畎➢嚋䙁涸礵ⲥ歲㹁ⴀ封鷅彷Ⱖ封㾝腡絞翸送䎃䏞Ⱒꝶ鵳㾝幡兠㖑㾝梡ⴀ➃䊨兰腊封㾝⾎玐愿կ痦✳畎帿Ⰶ❡⚌欰䙖艎㖑鍒匬嵳㢪畊✰呔㽷ծ务㕂封㾝騟䖈⟄⿺帿㖕⼓㚖⴯倝暵蒀㾝梡Ⰼ锋❡⚌欰䙖涸㢴⯋ⴔ⻊呔㽷կ痦♲畎帿Ⰶ䪮助ⰻ呍➢㣐垷㘗薴䒭ꬠ倝ծ㢴垷䙖雩濼駟⼮ⵌⰨ魧兰腊涸暟锐䅺Ⰶ䳶爙AI➢贞䬾䲀锐鵄ぢ㹊⡤❜匹涸呍䗱駟鴲⚹锐鍒䪮助ꬠㄐ䲿⣘䏀㽻鹤鳓佅税կ 兰腊絊畮⡲⚹➃䊨兰腊衅㖑涸呍䗱鲿⡤涯淼⛼痦㔋ծ痦❀畎ꅾ挿翸送兰腊絊畮곭㚖➢❡⚌Ꝇ鍒區ⵌ䪮助卹匬涸紷帿鷳錠匬䒊炽叙㛇䏀-䪮助卹匬-䎾欽欰䙖涸ⴔ區꡻梠傁㾝梡帿㖕㖈兰腊絊畮곭㚖封㾝㛇炄♸⠏⸷⿶鸑鵂鍒瀦畮✻⼸ず♸AI鲽ꆀ⻊瘝Ⱒꝶ䪮助瑲灶䳶爙兰腊絊畮➢霃㢊兰腊⻊ぢ欰䙖兰腊⻊涸怵鵳馋⸷կ 痦Ⱉ荛痦剧畎⵸澯AI劢勻⟄ꆀ㶩雦皾ծ腰纸䱹〡ծⰨ魧兰腊瘝⵸屠䪮助ⴀ封⺠⹗♲皾輑ざ♸➃纸⼸ず涸AGI怵鵳騟䖈㾝梡兰腊䪮助瑲灶暟锐鴝歲ծꅾ匬➃碫俒僈䕎䙖涸偽ꣳ〳腊կ痦Ⱃ畎太㔐䔱❡⚌欰䙖匬䒊䲽絚AI❡⚌Ꝇ㛇炄㽻ծ䪮助㽻ծ䎾欽㽻䎇⴩⚿去邍䚍⟱⚌ 呩⢾Ⱘ韌⻊❡⚌欰䙖涸匬䧭♸鵘⡲⚹锐鍒❡⚌封㾝䲿⣘䗎錜錠錭կ帿㖕⡲⚹务㕂AI⴯倝涸⯓ꝓ㙹䋑Ⱖ䪮助-❡⚌-屛锐⼸ず确程涸㹊騨絑낉⚹Ⰼ锋餑柄✫됮崞呋劥կ 畀㖈➃䊨兰腊封㾝涸Ⱒꝶ蒜挿痪⼜傁꬗⚰괇銻䚍⴯倝涸⾎〷纸麁⛲꨽䎾㼆⠡锐錞ⵖ♸〳䭯絯䚍封㾝涸禹絡䚍䮋䧶կ劥涯淼⛼鸑鵂䪮助怵鵳ծ❡⚌ꅾ匬ծ爢吐鲮㘗瘝㢴絶錠錭确雭➃䊨兰腊紷帿封㾝♸➃碫俒僈怵鵳涸剒⠏騟䖈傋㖈⚹筛瘻ⵖ㹁罏ծ⟱⚌Ɀ瘻罏ծ猰灇➃プ⟄⿺爢吐ぐ歲䲿⣘♧⼝Ⰼ꬗ծ帿Ⰶ涸⿬罌⸔⸂Ⰼ锋➃䊨兰腊䭯絯⨴䐀封㾝կ 帿㖕䋑➃䊨兰腊遤⚌⼸吐帿㖕䋑䫏䱽侨㶶猰䪮剣ꣳⰖ尽 ⚺銳〄梡 AI䪮助薴䒭㹊梡瑲灶䚍鶛去끮⸓❡⚌⡤禹ꅾ匬կ➃䊨兰腊⟄䪮助薴䒭鶛去⚹⚺絁姻➢痗尼⚺⛐ⵌ鵶䱹⚺⛐ծ➢⚁欽兰腊ⵌ鸑欽兰腊駟鴲կ鸑鵂㼆2024䎃➃䊨兰腊封㾝㔐곥㣐垷㘗㹊梡㢴垷䙖锐鍒ㄤ欰䧭腊⸂涸㣐䌴䲿⼮⼪遤涰⚌鸑鵂AI⾲欰䎾欽ꅾ匬欰❡崨玐罜Ⰼ锋屛锐呥卹涸⸈鸟䧭㘗太叻䘋满䪮助⴯倝♸⠡锐錞ⵖ涸⸓䙖䎂邂鵳Ⰶ倝꣌媯կ Ⰼ锋AI❡⚌ッ梡䊵䒗⻊封㾝⼓㚖封㾝騟䖈儑衼ⴔ⻊կ繠㕂鲮ぢ⟟⧩ꅾ匬➃䊨兰腊湱Ⱒ⟱⚌䧭用侨ꆀッ梡儑衼岚⸓暵䖄导僥ⴀ䪮助封㾝ծ餴劥崨⸓♸䋑㖞梠㞯涸撑练匹⸓餴劥䋑㖞撑蔼告㷖助⠏⸷䓳⻊薉㕂⴯⚌崞⸂♴꣭告굥ꤗ䫏餴鷟⸷㔐军⽪䏞꬗⚰皾⸂餴彂ծ곝㼺➃䩞櫕곯♸灇瑕⡤禹㣟邂涸䮋䧶կ 务㕂➃䊨兰腊䪮助霢露勉䲿⼮帿㖕⟄䎾欽끮⸓封㾝կ务㕂➃䊨兰腊封㾝騟䖈㽻꬗⟱⚌䧭用侨ꆀ䭯絯靈侮餴劥䋑㖞掚䏞㔐衅告䪮助霢露勉䲿⼮封僈⚁ⵄꆀ⴯倝넞⽪霆⴯倝⸓腊鲮䰃կ帿㖕⟄䎾欽끮⸓⚹呍䗱䕎䧭♧馄㢴䔂涸⼓㚖ⴔ䋒呔㽷⴯⚌欰䙖㔐庛肅勉輑餴导䔀㣐垷㘗➃䩞꨽宠慨㟞կ AI䪮助瑲灶ꅾ匬絊畮欰䙖兰腊絊畮僽AI衅㖑呍䗱鲿⡤⛓♧կꥥ满➃䊨兰腊絊畮䕎䙖䘯鸟怵鵳Ⱖ鿈縭㖞兞ㄤ❡⚌⟟⧩ッ梡ⴀ欰䙖㢴⯋⻊♸遤⚌帿羒ざ涸⿽ꅾ馋⸷կ兰腊絊畮♶ⱄ僽㷐用霃㢊罜僽䧭⚹兰腊剪⸉涸䪬鲿䎂〵ծ遤⚌兰腊⻊涸䱹〡ㄤ欰䙖⼸ず涸呍䗱卛紿ⰦⱿ瘻⡤禹姻㖈歋錞太끮⸓ぢ垷㘗끮⸓鲮㘗կ AIꅾ㝕➃碫爢吐〳䭯絯封㾝呥卹纸麁♸䮋䧶䎇㶸կ㖈絑崸絶䏞AIꅾ匬Ⰼ锋㽠⚌䋑㖞♸餒㺢ⴔꂁ呔㽷傁⪶欰倝餘㽠⚌䋑㖞♸欰❡⸂駟⼮⿶⸈ⶢⰌ锋餒㺢ⴔꂁ涸絕匬䚍ⴔ⻊㖈欰䙖絶䏞AI餻腊넞礵䏞孞⦫곫崵♸欰䙖禹絡㹁ぢ靈䱽⚹灶鍒梠㞯㔮㽷䲿⣘兰腊倰呩㖈俒僈絶䏞➃䊨兰腊綁蒀封㾝㼜䧭倝送挿鶖ⴗ銳宠䒊用Ⰼ锋⼸ず涸〳䭯絯封㾝呥卹կ 䪮助輑ざ⪶欰AGI倝騟䖈➃纸Ⱒ禹鵓勻禹絡䚍尊ꬠկ㾝劅劢勻ꆀ㶩雦皾ծ馄紩雦皾♸兰腊雦皾涸♲皾輑ざ䧴僽皾⸂涸絊匧䕎䙖➃䕎纸㐼➃⡲⚹Ⱘ魧兰腊곭㚖剒Ⱘ去邍䚍涸㹊⡤姻㖈㣐垷㘗⪶⻊♴끮⸓Ⱘ魧兰腊❡⚌⻊灶㽷կ腰纸䱹〡太瑲灶⼕毫鴝歲ぢ侅肫ծ㬛⛙ծⱙ✲瘝곭㚖幷鷳㹊梡➃纸⼸ず涸㢴⯋輑ざկ兰腊⡤⡲⚹荈⚺䠭濼ծⱿ瘻♸䪄遤涸鲿⡤䧭⚹AGI衅㖑涸Ⱒꝶ騟䖈⛓♧կ 湡䔶 痦1畎兰腊怵鵳⾎玐..............................................................................................1 1.1.1➃䊨兰腊.........................................................................................21.1.2➃䊨兰腊㣐垷㘗............................................................................21.1.3➃䊨兰腊絊畮................................................................................21.1.4➃䊨兰腊⟱⚌................................................................................21.1.5➃䊨兰腊湱Ⱒ⟱⚌........................................................................3 1.2➃䊨兰腊封㾝⾎玐...................................................................................3 1.32024䎃➃䊨兰腊㔐곥.............................................................................5 1.3.1䪮助瑲灶㢴垷䙖腊⸂騗馊䒭封㾝...........................................51.3.2遤⚌䎾欽⼪遤涰⚌⸈鸟兰腊⻊鲮㘗......................................91.3.3ⵖ䏞模㊤Ⰼ锋屛锐⡤禹⸈鸟匬䒊.........................................13 痦2畎Ⰼ椕❡⚌呔㽷............................................................................................21 2.1嵳㢪❡⚌晜愿繠㕂ծ薉㕂ծ⽪䏞畊✰呔㽷..................................22 2.1.1繠㕂...............................................................................................222.1.2薉㕂...............................................................................................252.1.3⽪䏞...............................................................................................28 2.2务㕂封㾝騟䖈筛瘻끮⸓♸䋑㖞ㆇ䎾...............................................31 2.2.1⟱⚌侨ꆀ䒁絯靈侮䙖⸷.............................................................312.2.2餴劥䋑㖞掚䏞䭯絯㔐衅.............................................................322.2.3ꆀ尊䲿⼮✫䪮助霢露勉.............................................................332.2.4封僈⚁ⵄ歍霼ꆀ⴯倝넞.............................................................34 2.3⼓㚖⴯倝薴䒭⟄帿㖕䋑⚹呋劥.......................................................35 2.3.1➃䊨兰腊⴯⚌掚䏞㔐庛.............................................................352.3.2㼭㘗⟱⚌⽑研剒㣐嫱⢾.............................................................362.3.3❡⚌Ꝇ勵⟄䎾欽⚹끮⸓.............................................................37 2.3.4⼓㚖ⴔ䋒ッ梡♧馄㢴䔂..............................................................382.3.5❡⚌㔩⼓䒊霃珘姿䲀鵳..............................................................392.3.6肅勉輑餴괄䏞㣐䌴导䔀..............................................................402.3.7封僈⚁ⵄ歍霼䭯絯抠掚..............................................................412.3.8㣐垷㘗➃䩞꨽宠⣩野㟞..............................................................42 痦3畎㛇炄䪮助ꬠㄐ............................................................................................43 3.1㣐垷㘗雲絅薴䒭.....................................................................................44 3.1.1卹匬㽻㛇炄雲絅卹匬♸佪桧⠏⻊.........................................443.1.2䲀锐㽻䙼絶Ꝇ䲀锐Chain-of-Thought薴䒭................463.1.3兰腊⡤㽻禹絡⻊䪄遤纸ⵖ♸䱹〡叻ⲥ怵鵳........................48 3.2㢴垷䙖雩濼ꬠㄐ騗露鎊-錠錣-暟锐⚆歲锐鍒..........................50 3.2