NDC洞察系列（英）

Issue No.5 July 2025 About Issue No.5 This NDC Insight issue explores how countries are aligning their climate targets and measurescommitted in new NDCs with their broader growth and development agendas,including theSustainable Development Goals(SDGs).It also examines the critical nexus between climate andhealth,and the importance of including circular economy in NDCs to further advancesustainable development agendas. About UNDP UNDP is the leading United Nations organization fighting to end the injustice of poverty,inequality,and climate change.Working with our broad network of experts and partners in 170countries,we help nations to build integrated,lasting solutions for people and planet.Learn moreatundp.orgor follow at@UNDP. About UNDP’s Climate Promise UNDP’s Climate Promise is the UN system’s largest portfolio of support on climate action,working with more than 140 countries and territories and directly benefiting 37 million people.This portfolio implements over US$2.3 billion in grant financingand draws on UNDP’s expertise inadaptation,mitigation,carbon markets,climate and forests,and climate strategies and policy.Visit our website atclimatepromise.undp.organd follow usat@UNDPClimate. Copyright©UNDP 2025.All rights reserved.One United Nations Plaza,New York,NY 10017,USA. Latest trends and insights Despitecontinued record-breaking temperatures and climate impacts,there is increasingrecognition of the economic and development opportunities of climate action.This is paired witha landmark legal opinion from the highest international court to uphold the Paris Agreementgoals.How do new Nationally Determined Contributions(NDCs)reflect core developmentpriorities?How are they aligning with specific Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs)? As of 31 July 2025,a total of 27 Parties have submitted their newNDCs. July saw two new submissions from Monaco and Niue.Over 150 countries areexpected to submit by COP30.UNDP is supporting 100 countries in preparingtheir NDCs to be ambitious,inclusive and investible,as a contribution to the jointUN system effort and the NDC Partnership. On the road to COP30,there is increased evidence on demonstratingthe economic and development case for ambitious climate action. The UN Secretary-General made a powerful call for ambitious NDCs driven bythe economic benefits of clean energy,while the joint statement from theEuropean Union and China reinforced international cooperation,committing toadvancing just transition and sustainable development. Analysis of new NDCs reveals strong links across SDGs,with manyarticulating the positive health outcomes of climate actionand theimportance of integrated solutions such as circular economy. While the most frequently reflected priorities in NDCs address SDGs on energy(SDG 7),sustainable cities(SDG 11)and nature(SDG 15),there is an increasingrecognition of broader socio-economic and governance dimensions of climateaction.As a core development issue,health is featured prominently amongmany NDCs underscoring the potential for climate action to advance healthoutcomes.Solutions addressing multiple SDGs are also given due attention.Overtwo-thirds of new NDCs submitted to date reference policies andmeasures related to circular economy-a proven approach for deliveringclimate and development outcomes simultaneously. Country spotlight:SomaliaSomaliademonstrates remarkable leadership with an ambitious new NDC, despite being a fragile state.The new NDC emphasizes its steadfast commitmentto achieving carbon neutrality,enhancing adaptation and resilience,and aligningits action with the SDGs. NDC submission status As of 31 July 2025,a total of27 parties(five G20,seven SIDS and three LDCs),covering around21 percent of total global GHG emissions,have submitted their new NDCs for the 2025 cycle.July saw two new NDCs submitted fromMonaco and Niue.While only 27 countries havesubmitted their NDC to date,over 150 countries are expected to submit by COP30.Collectively,these submissions will answer the critical question of whether or not these NDCs cumulativelyput the world on a 1.5°C pathway.12 Amidst the current global challenges,our planet continues to shatterglobal temperature records.June was confirmed as the third-warmest June on record and the global average temperatureover the last twelve-month period was 1.55C above pre-industrial levels.This alarming milestonewas followed by devastating floods across Asia and the US,and extreme heatwaves grippingEurope,East Asia,North Africa and the Middle East during July.The latest projection indicatesthat there is a70 percent chancethat the five-year average warming for 2025-2029 will be 1.5Cabove pre-industrial levels.oo Despite these escalating realities,July also witnessed significant advancements in global politicalmomentumfor climate action,fostering both urgency and optimism.On 22 July,the UNSecretary-General’s climate speech titled“Moment of Opportunity”highlighted unequivocaleconomic benefits inher