NDC洞察系列（英）6

Copyright©UNDP 2025.All rights reserved.One United Nations Plaza,New York,NY 10017,USA.Cover Photo:Morgana Wingard-UNDP LiberiaAbout Issue No.4This issue explores how countries are boosting the implementability and investability of theirnew NDCs including leveraging carbon market opportunities and aligning with sustainabledevelopment financing processes.It also spotlights Nepal’s new NDC as the first fullsubmission from a least developed country(LDC).About UNDPUNDP is the leading United Nations organization fighting to end the injustice of poverty,inequality,and climate change.Working with our broad network of experts and partners in 170countries,we help nations to build integrated,lasting solutions for people and planet.Learn moreatundp.orgor follow at@UNDP.About UNDP’s Climate PromiseUNDP’s Climate Promise is the UN system’s largest portfolio of support on climate action,working with more than 140 countries and territories and directly benefiting 37 million people.This portfolio implements over US$2.3 billion in grant financingand draws on UNDP’s expertise inadaptation,mitigation,carbon markets,climate and forests,and climate strategies and policy.Visit our website atclimatepromise.undp.organd follow usat@UNDPClimate. Latest trends and insightsEmerging trend:There is a growing momentum to leverage NDCs asvehicles for investment in climate action and sustainable development,but more work is needed to see concrete results.Analysis of new NDCs submitted by developing countries against three dimensions of“investability”reveals that while strong foundations and structures are in place,morework is needed on specific actionable elements:Half way through 2025,many countries are still finalizing their NDCs for submission.As countries lookto connect ambition with implementation,key questions arise:What enables investment in NDCs,including from the private sector?How"investible"are these new NDCs?How can NDCs leveragefinance for both climate and development?Which existing instruments are already demonstratingimpact?Insights are emerging on all of these questions.As of 30 June 2025,a total of 25 Parties have submitted their newNDCs for the 2025 cycle.Country spotlight:NepalNepal,as a mountainous,least developed nation highly vulnerable to climate change,steps up its ambition moving beyond its previous activity-based pledges.The new NDCsets quantified economy-wide GHG emissions reduction targets for 2030 and 2035.Italso elaborates its adaptation and loss and damage measures,while championinginclusive and sustainable development.INFFs are being leveraged to align NDCs with national development priorities andmobilize investment,while 84 percent of submitted new NDCs have referenced carbonmarkets.Ongoing discussions on country platforms may also provide opportunities toaccelerate finance for climate and development.01define targets,set policy measures and estimate costs to enhance investmentcredibility.have indicated enabling governance approaches to support NDC investment.identifyactionable elements such as implementation plans or financinginstruments to translate into investment-ready opportunities.Emerging trend:Increasingly,countries are using established andemerging instruments to unlock finance for NDC targets,such asIntegrated National Financing Frameworks(INFFs),carbon marketsand country platforms.87%67%80%Thesesubmissions,comprised of five G20 countries,six SIDS and three LDCs,represent around 21 percent of total global GHG emissions.During May and June,fiveParties(Belize,Moldova,Nepal,Norway and Somalia)submitted their new NDCs.Recent science is a red alert,showing that every year matters if weare to limit global warming.It is critical to double down on availablesolutions to reduce emissions this decade.While very few new NDCs are aligning with the guidance of the first global stocktake tostrengthen 2030 targets,many are setting deeper,economy-wide 2035 targets. NovemberDecemberJanuaryFebruaryMarchApril0246810122231111NDC submission status02At the midway point of 2025,these NDCs offer critical insights into the global trajectory andmomentum of climate ambition.Many countries have now set deeper and economy-wide GHGemissions reduction goals for their 2035 targets,indicating a firm commitment towards increasedmitigation ambition to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement.However,it should be noted thatfew countries–which do not include any developed countries or major emitters-have chosen tostrengthen their 2030 targets.In fact,only four developing countries have strengthened their2030 pledges:Moldova,Montenegro,Nepal and Saint Lucia.This counters the urgent call toaction reflected in the first global stocktake’s outcome(paragraph 37),⁴which emphasizes theneed for drastic emissions cuts within this decade.Figure 1:Number of NDC submissions,by month(November 2024 to June 2025)As of 30 June 2025,a total of 25 Parties¹(five G20,six SIDS and three LDCs),covering around 21percent of total global GHG emissions,²have su