2025年7月14日看好市场表现截至2025.7.11资料来源:WIND,国新证券整理分析师:张心颐登记编码:S1490522090001邮箱:zhangxinyi1@crsec.com.cn证券研究报告2024-09-192024-12-032025-02-182025-04-282025-07-09电力设备(申万)沪深300 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明目录一、风电板块一周行情回顾........................................................................................................................................................4二、招标和主要原材料价格情况................................................................................................................................................5三、公司及行业事件....................................................................................................................................................................7四、风险提示................................................................................................................................................................................8 2 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明图表目录图表1:电力设备(申万)指数本周+2.50%(%)................................................................................................................4图表2:本周风电设备(申万)+0.72%(%)........................................................................................................................4图表3:恒润股份本周涨幅靠前(%).....................................................................................................................................5图表4:吉鑫科技本周跌幅靠前(%).....................................................................................................................................5图表5:季度风电招标容量.........................................................................................................................................................5图表6:3MW风机招标价格......................................................................................................................................................5图表7:铁矿石期货价格.............................................................................................................................................................6图表8:中厚板价格.....................................................................................................................................................................6图表9:铸造生铁价格.................................................................................................................................................................6图表10:螺纹钢价格...................................................................................................................................................................6图表11:铜现货价格...................................................................................................................................................................7图表12:铝现货价格...................................................................................................................................................................7图表13:环氧树脂价格...............................................................................................................................................................7图表14:玻璃纤维价格...............................................................................................................................................................7 3 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明一、风电板块一周行情回顾本周(2025/7/7-2025/7/11)沪深300指数+0.82%,申万31个行业指数中27个上涨,电力设备(申万)指数本周+2.50%,排在第10位,跑赢指数1.68pct。图表1:电力设备(申万)指数本周+2.50%(%)数据来源:Wind,国新证券整理本周电力设备二级行业指数普涨,风电设备行业指数+0.72%,电池(申万)、电网设备(申万)、其他电源设备Ⅱ(申万)、光伏设备(申万)、电机Ⅱ(申万)分别+1.86%、+1.19%、+0.91%、+7.25%、+1.86%。图表2:本周风电设备(申万)+0.72%(%)数据来源:Wind,国新证券整理-2.00-1.000.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.007.251.860.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.008.00光伏设备(申万)电机Ⅱ(申万) 1.371.190.91电池(申万)电网设备(申万)其他电源设备Ⅱ(申万) 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明从公司表现看,本周风电设备行业(申万)公司涨幅居前的公司为恒润股份、宏德股份、明阳智能、运达股份、电气风电,跌幅居前的公司是大金重工、中环海陆、禾望电气、海锅股份、吉鑫科技。图表3:恒润股份本周涨幅靠前(%)图表4:吉鑫科技本周跌幅靠前(%)数据来源:Wind,国新证券整理数据来源:Wind,国新证券整理二、招标和主要原材料价格情况2024年三季 度国 内 公 开 招 标 风 电 机 组 容 量 为53GW,Q1-Q3招 标 合 计119.1GW,同比+93%。24Q3,3MW风机公开投标均价为1475元/KW,季度环比+10元/KW。图表5:季度风电招标容量图表6:3MW风机招标价格数据来源:金风科技,国新证券整理数据来源:金风科技,国新证券整理5.414.043.553.522.960.001.002.003.004.005.006.00恒润股份宏德股份明阳智能运达股份电气风电-2.30-3.96-16.00-14.00-12.00-10.00-8.00-6.00-4.00-2.000.00大金重工中环海陆禾望电气海锅股份吉鑫科技01020304050602017/6/12017/9/12017/12/12018/3/12018/6/12018/9/12018/12/12019/3/12019/6/12019/9/12019/12/12020/3/12020/6/12020/9/12020/12/12021/3/12021/6/12021/9/12021/12/12022/3/12022/6/12022/9/12022/12/12023/3/12023/6/12023/9/12023/12/12024/3/12024/6/12024/9/1风电机组_国内公开招标容量_当季值吉瓦0500100015002000250030003500400045002019/6/12019/8/12019/10/12019/12/12020/2/12020/4/12020/6/12020/8/12020/10/12020/12/12021/2/12021/4/12021/6/12021/8/12021/10/1风电机组:国内公开投标均价:3.0MW元/kw 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明本周铁矿石期货收盘价764元/吨,环比+31.5元/吨;铸造生铁价格2930元/吨,环比持平;中厚板价格3417元/吨,环比+15元/吨;铜、铝现货价格分别为9637.5、2591.5美元/吨,单价分别-333、+4.5美元/吨,环比-3.3%、+0.2%。环氧树脂价格为13500元/吨,环比持平。图表7:铁矿石期货价格图表8:中厚板价格数据来源:大连商品交易所,国新证券整理数据来源:WIND,国新证券整理图表9:铸造生铁价格图表10:螺纹钢价格数据来源:WIND,国新证券整理数据来源:钢之家,国新证券整理0.00200.00400.00600.00800.001,000.001