中国4月金融数据多数不及预期 [Tab e_Rank]报告日期: 2025-05-15 [Tab e_Ana yse]张粲东高级分析师(宏观策略)从业资格号:F3085356投资咨询号:Z0018866Te:8621-63325888-1610Ema:ndong. h ng@onu u. om 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 美联储副主席:预计经济增长将放缓,通胀或反弹但待观察 美联储官员表态经济稳健,因此不急于降息,美联储官员对于经济短期看法明显乐观,美元维持震荡。 宏观策略(美国股指期货) 韩国与美国就外汇政策展开对话 美国与中东国家的协议继续支撑科技板块上涨,股指表现分化,纳指明显强于标普500和道琼斯指数。 宏观策略(国债期货) 4月金融数据多数不及预期 虽然财政正在积极发力,但私人部门仍然缺乏主动投融资意愿。基本面对债市的影响依然是偏多的。 黑色金属(动力煤) 5月14日北港市场动力煤价格弱势运行 伴随港口集中疏港,煤价下行压力一次性释放。后期来看,根据天气预估,此轮夏季或再次呈现高温,火电增速有望在夏季转至同比正增长。需求季节性回转将接替港口降库完成,煤 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 农产品(豆粕) 美国建议延长生物燃料税收抵免 美国众议院提议延长生物燃料税收抵免至2031年底,ANEC将巴西5月出口预估上调至1426万吨。昨日国内豆粕现货稳中有跌,成交一般。 有色金属(氧化铝) 广西地区某新投产大型氧化铝厂目前停产一条生产线 行业临时性压减产频出,供给端保持阶段收缩态势。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................82.5、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.6、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................102.8、农产品(生猪)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(多晶硅)....................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................142.16、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.18、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(尿素)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.2