您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[东证期货]:美国消费者信心指数大幅回落,中国4月金融数据不及预期 - 发现报告

美国消费者信心指数大幅回落,中国4月金融数据不及预期

2024-05-13黄玉萍、农产品东证期货~***
美国消费者信心指数大幅回落,中国4月金融数据不及预期

美国消费者信心指数大幅回落,中国4月金融数据不及预期 2024-05-13 股指期货 4月社融增与M2增速持续回落 金融数据显示的居民部门降杠杆倾向短期内难以扭转。因此后续信用扩张或仍面临较大压力。对于A股资产,短期波折或将加大,从中期角度看,我们仍建议以偏多的思路对待。 国债期货 4月我国CPI同比上涨0.3%,PPI同比下降2.5% 各项经济指标均反映出实体部门内生融资、投资动能较弱,基本面长期利多债市的格局仍然存在。短期受地产政策放松、央行表态等因素的影响,债市表现略承压。长期依旧看多债市 农产品 USDA5月月报:下年度全球供应及库存预期增加 USDA5月报告预计24/25美棉产量以及期末库存、库销比均同比提升;预计全球产量同比增4.8%,消费预计同比增加3.1%。报告影响中性偏空。 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 黑色金属 炼焦煤远期市场暂稳运行 短期来看,焦煤或维持震荡格局,虽然铁水仍在上升过程中,但下游已经持续补库中,且下游利润限制,上方空间有限。 航运指数 6月1日迎来新一波涨价潮 关注6-8反套的计划,近月单边风险较大,有待观察再进一步操作 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................41.3、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆油/棕榈油)...................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................82.5、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.6、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................92.7、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)................................................................................................................................................102.8、黑色金属(动力煤)......................................................................................................................................................102.9、黑色金属(铁矿石)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、农产品(豆粕)............................................................................................................................................................112.11、农产品(生猪)............................................................................................................................................................122.12、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)..................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................132.14、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................142.15、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................142.16、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................152.17、有色金属(氧化铝)....................................................................................................................................................162.18、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................162.19、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................162.20、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................172.21、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................17 2.22、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................182.23、能源化工(PVC)...