
2024-12-24 宏观策略 美对我国芯片产业相关政策发起301调查 最新的美国消费者信心不及预期,表明了消费者对于关税和经济前景的担忧,美元继续高位震荡。 农产品 油厂豆粕库存下降 南美丰产及美国未来政策不确定性下,美豆仍将弱势运行,巴西CNF升贴水也存在继续下跌的压力,受此影响豆粕仍将维持弱势,继续关注南美天气形势及政策预期变化。 黑色金属 2024年11月份蒙古国煤炭产量883.1万吨 根据现有电力成交价,普遍降幅都在4分以上,对应煤炭成本需要降低80元/吨,市场对煤价800元支撑信仰打破,整体价格预计延续跌势。 有色金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 国内主流消费地电解铝锭库存50.3万吨 铝锭库存快速去化,但成本拖累铝价下行。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................72.1、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................72.2、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................82.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................92.5、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................92.6、黑色金属(铁矿石)......................................................................................................................................................102.7、农产品(玉米淀粉)......................................................................................................................................................102.8、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................142.16、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................152.18、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................16 2.20、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................162.21、能源化工(沥青)........................................................................................................................................................172.22、能源化工(