新房成交持续回落,二手房环比转增[Table_ReportDate]2023年11月19日 江宇辉地产行业首席分析师执业编号:S1500522010002联系电话:+86 18621759430邮箱:jiangyuhui@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 2023年11月19日 行业研究 摘要: 地产市场监测:本周(2023/11/11-2023/11/17)30个大中城新房成交面积217.02万平方米,同比下降14.13%,环比下降1.53%。15城二手房成交面积201.89万平方米,同比上升30.41%,环比上升0.74%。监测16个重点城市库存面积11804.35万平方米,环比上升0.32%,去化周期99.66周,较上周延长0.40周。上周(2023/11/06-2023/11/12)100大中城市土地成交建面2080.24万平方米,同比下降40.64%,环比下降53.52%;溢价率为1.96%。 企融资情况:本周(2023/11/13-2023/11/19)房企境内新发债总额为72.60亿元,同比下降30.92%,环比上升37.29%;债务总偿还量为167.22亿元,同比上升61.06%,环比上升80.00%;净融资额25.00亿元。 风险因素:政策风险:房地产调控政策收紧或放松不及预期。市场风险:房地产市场销售情况恢复程度不及预期,行业资金压力缓解不及预期。 信达证券股份有限公司CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD北京市西城区闹市口大街9号院1号楼邮编:100031 目录 1.地产政策追踪....................................................................................................................41.1地产政策回顾..........................................................................................................42.一周行情回顾....................................................................................................................52.1房地产板块..............................................................................................................52.2物业板块.................................................................................................................53.地产市场监测....................................................................................................................73.1新房成交数据..........................................................................................................73.2二手房成交数据......................................................................................................73.3土地市场情况..........................................................................................................83.4库存及去化..............................................................................................................94.房企融资情况...................................................................................................................114.1房企融资详情.........................................................................................................11风险因素..............................................................................................................................12 图表目录 图表1:本周政策回顾..........................................................................................................4图表2:本周房地产板块行情走势(%)..............................................................................5图表3:本周申万全行业板块涨跌幅(%)...........................................................................5图表4:本周地产股涨幅前10名(%)................................................................................5图表5:本周地产股跌幅前10名(%)................................................................................5图表6:本周物业板块行情走势(%)..................................................................................6图表7:本周恒生全行业板块涨跌幅(%)...........................................................................6图表8:本周物业股涨幅前10名(%)................................................................................6图表9:本周物业股跌幅前10名(%)................................................................................6图表10:30大中城市商品房成交面积及同比环比增速.........................................................7图表11:按城市能级划分商品房成交面积同比增速(%)....................................................7图表12:按城市能级划分商品房成交面积环比增速(%)...................................................7图表13:2023年10月新建住宅价格和同比及环比增速......................................................7图表14:15城二手房成交面积及同比和环比增速................................................................8图表15:按城市能级分二手房成交面积同比增速(%).......................................................8图表16:按城市能级划分二手房成交面积环比增速(%)...................................................8图表17:2023年10月二手房价格指数同环比增速(%)...................................................8图表18:100大中城土地成交面积及同比增速.....................................................................8图表19:上周按城市能级划分土地成交面积、增速..............................................................8图表20:100大中城土地成交楼面均价及溢价率.................................................................9图表21:上周按城市能级划分成交楼面均价及溢价率..........................................................9图表22:15城库存面积及去化周期.....................................................................................9图表23:一线城市库存面积及去化周期...............................................................................9图表24:二线城市库存面积及去化周期...............................................................................9图表25:三线城市库存面积及去化周期...............................................................................9图表26:重点城市库存和去化周期情况.............................................................................10图表27:境内新发债规模及同比增速..................................................................................11图表28:债务偿还规模及债务净融资规模...........................................................................11图表29:房企债券发行详情................................................................................................11 1.地产政策追踪 1.1地产政策回顾 2.一周行情回顾 2.1房地产板块 本周(202