The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has released its Spring 2023 UK Economic Outlook, which provides an overview of the UK's economic prospects. The report forecasts a modest economic recovery in the coming year, with growth expected to reach 4.2% in 2023, up from an estimated 4.0% in 2022. However, the report also notes that the recovery is likely to be uneven, with some sectors and regions being hit harder than others.
The report highlights that the economic recovery is being driven by the ongoing vaccination program and the easing of restrictions, as well as the continued support from monetary and fiscal policy. However, it also notes that there are a number of risks to the economic outlook, including the emergence of new variants of the virus, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical tensions.
The report also provides a detailed analysis of the UK's labor market, with unemployment expected to fall to 4.7% in 2023, down from an estimated 5.1% in 2022. However, the report notes that the labor market remains in a fragile state, with many workers still facing job insecurity and wage growth remaining subdued.
Overall, the NIESR's Spring 2023 UK Economic Outlook provides a comprehensive and detailed assessment of the UK's economic prospects, highlighting both the strengths and weaknesses of the economy. The report is an important resource for policymakers, businesses, and the general public, providing valuable insights into the key economic trends and issues facing the UK.