调整格鲁吉亚的气候和能源规划：NDC、NECP和LTLEDS的比较分析

A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE NDC,NECP AND LT-LEDS © IRENA 2026 Unless otherwise stated, material in this publication may be freely used, shared, copied, reproduced, printedand/or stored, provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of IRENA as the source and copyrightholder. Material in this publication that is attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of useand restrictions, and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any useof such material. ISBN:978-92-9260-746-3 Citation:IRENA (2026),Aligning Georgia’s climate and energy planning: A comparative analysis of the NDC,NECP and LT-LEDS, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi. About IRENA The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) is an intergovernmental organisation that supportscountries in their transition to a sustainable energy future and serves as the principal platform for internationalco-operation, a centre of excellence, and a repository of policy, technology, resource and financial knowledgeon renewable energy. IRENA promotes the widespread adoption and sustainable use of all forms of renewableenergy, including bioenergy, geothermal, hydropower, ocean, solar and wind energy, in the pursuit ofsustainable development, energy access, energy security and low-carbon economic growth and prosperity.www.irena.org Acknowledgements The report was authored by Ines Jacob and Simon Benmarraze with the support of Larissa P. P. Nogueira. Varvara Aleksić (ex-IRENA), Petya Icheva, Nadeem Goussous, Toyo Kawabata, Faran Rana provided valuablereviews. Substantive contributions and review were provided by Margalita Arabidze, Omar Tsereteli, NikolozKholodov, Soso Mindiashvili, Ani Peradze (Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia),Nino Tkhilava, Masho Khakhnelidze, Tekle Gurgenidze and Kakha Lomashvili (Ministry of EnvironmentalProtection and Agriculture of Georgia). Technical review was provided by Paul Komor. Editing and production were managed by Francis Field with the support of Stephanie Clarke. Communicationsupport was provided by Daria Gazzola, and graphic design by Phoenix Design Aid. This report was supported by a voluntary contribution from the Government of Denmark. For further information or to provide feedback, contact:publications@irena.org The report is available at:www.irena.org/publications Disclaimer This publication and the material herein are provided “as is”. All reasonable precautions have been taken by IRENA to verify the reliability ofthe material in this publication. However, neither IRENA nor any of its officials, agents, data or other third-party content providers provides awarranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, and they accept no responsibility or liability for any consequence of use of the publicationor material herein. The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views of all Members of IRENA. The mention of specific companies orcertain projects or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by IRENA in preference to others of a similar nature thatare not mentioned. The designations employed and the presentation of material herein do not imply the expression of any opinion on the partof IRENA concerning the legal status of any region, country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of frontiersor boundaries. Cover photo: ©Creative Travel Projects/Shutterstock.com CONTENTS ABBREVIATIONS5EXECUTIVE SUMMARY61.INTRODUCTION82.BACKGROUND92.1Key national climate and energy frameworks93.COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS153.1Comparison of GHG emissions targets and projections163.2Comparison of renewable energy targets and projections224.SUGGESTIONS FOR ENHANCING ALIGNMENT ACROSS NATIONAL PLANS255REFERENCES29 FIGURES Figure 1GHGemissionsprojectionsinthedifferentscenariosintheNDC,NECPandLT-LEDS, 2016-2030, excluding LULUCF........................................................................................ 17Figure 2GHGemissionsprojectionsintheNECPanalysis(left)andLT-LEDSanalysis(right),2016-2050, excluding LULUCF............................................................................................................ 18Figure 3GHGemissionsprojectionsintheNECPanalysis(left)andLT-LEDSanalysis(right),2016-2050, including LULUCF............................................................................................................. 18Figure 4BreakdownofGHGemissionsprojections(MtCO2eq) in 2030 in the CSAP, NECP(NECP Scenario) and LT-LEDS (WEM and WAM scenarios)..................................................... 20Figure 5BreakdownofGHGemissionsprojectionsin2020,2030,2040and2050inNECP(NECP Scenario) and LT-LEDS (WEM and WAM scenarios)..................................................... 21Figure 6BreakdownofGHGemissionsprojectionsin2020,2030,2040and2050intheNECP (WEM/Baseline Scenario) and LT-LEDS (WoM Scenario).......................................