每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:震荡不改上行趋势........................................................................................................................4国债期货:资金面延续偏松............................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:市场变动有限盘面震荡运行..........................................................................................................6白糖:国际糖价下跌国内糖价抗跌..............................................................................................................6油脂板块:油脂震荡运行................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货稳定,盘面高位震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:供应压力好转价格整体上涨..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:淘汰量较高现货价格季节性偏强....................................................................................................10苹果:新果季有增产预期苹果期货易跌难涨............................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:外棉价格强势国内价格相对平稳...........................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:海外权重降低,钢材延续震荡走势..................................................................................................14双焦:底部有支撑,可逢低试多..................................................................................................................14铁矿:市场博弈加大,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:供需平稳,低位震荡......................................................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:地缘风险好转,金银震荡中枢抬升.................................................................................................17铂钯:重启谈判预期提振市场贵金属震荡偏强.........................................................................................18铜:战争影响钝化,铜价偏强运行..............................................................................................................18氧化铝:现货价格下跌基本面压力不减.....................................................................................................19电解铝:美伊冲突边际缓和沪铝补涨........................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:地缘冲突局势边际好转..........................................................................................................21锌:获利内外正套分批止盈..........................................................................................................................21 铅:暂时观望..................................................................................................................................................22镍:印尼调整HPM计价刺激镍价上涨........................................................................................................23不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................24工业硅:多单持有..........................................................................................................................................24多晶硅:长线回调后买入远月合约..............................................................................................................25碳酸锂:市场担忧澳洲能源不足影响锂矿产量..........................................................................................25锡:市场情绪好转,锡价有所提振..............................................................................................................26 航运及碳排放 集运:美伊停火谈判一波三折,关注海峡通行情况..................................................................................28干散货运价:燃油价格回调推动租家重回市场,干散货市场短期整体表现较好..................................29碳排放:中国碳市场交易依旧平淡,欧盟延长ETS2下MSR2配额完全有效时间................................30 能源化工 原油:美伊或延长停火两周..........................................................................................................................32沥青:供应低位需求疲弱,成本波动加剧..................................................................................................33燃料油:富查伊拉燃料油库存继续下行......................................................................................................33LPG:地缘溢价小幅回吐................................................................................................................................34天然气:地缘局势反复..................................................................................................................................35PX&PTA:PX检修增多....................................................................................................................................36BZ&EB:纯苯港口库存去库...........................................................................................................................37乙二醇:海内外供应收紧..........................................................................