您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [银河期货]:期货眼·日迹:每日早盘观察 - 发现报告

期货眼·日迹:每日早盘观察

2026-01-12 银河期货 高杨
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每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:春季行情确立................................................................................................................................3国债期货:债市情绪或有缓和........................................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应整体充足盘面继续承压..........................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价震荡收跌,国内糖价小幅震荡............................................................................................5油脂板块:关注今日mpob报告....................................................................................................................6玉米/玉米淀粉:小麦和玉米持续拍卖,现货稳定.......................................................................................7生猪:出栏压力好转现货偏强运行..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求有所改善,蛋价稳中有涨..........................................................................................................10苹果:冷库库存偏低,苹果价格坚挺..........................................................................................................10棉花-棉纱:大宗商品下调,棉价价格大跌.................................................................................................11 黑色金属 钢材:钢材转向累库,钢价延续震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:资金与情绪推动上涨,仍需关注基本面变化..................................................................................13铁矿:市场预期反复,矿价高位偏空对待..................................................................................................14铁合金:成本端推动下,价格震荡偏强......................................................................................................15 有色金属 金银:非农数据矛盾交织叠加地缘风险金银价格强势上行.....................................................................16铂钯:宏观总体偏紧,232调查裁决成为市场关注重点...........................................................................17铜:短线波动加剧,多头趋势不变..............................................................................................................18氧化铝:政策预期与基本面矛盾扩大价格波动..........................................................................................19电解铝:偏强运行..........................................................................................................................................19铸造铝合金:随板块上涨..............................................................................................................................20锌:关注资金面影响......................................................................................................................................20 铅:回调企稳后逢低试多..............................................................................................................................21镍:金融属性增强,低多思路对待..............................................................................................................22不锈钢:跟随镍价运行..................................................................................................................................23工业硅:短期偏强,中期逢高沽空..............................................................................................................24多晶硅:出口退税取消、厂家减产,短期止跌..........................................................................................25碳酸锂:抢出口预期刺激价格继续走强......................................................................................................25锡:短期波动加剧..........................................................................................................................................26 航运板块 集运:4/1日部分商品出口退税取消,关注Q1抢运力度.........................................................................28 能源化工 原油:中东地缘风险升温驱动油价反弹......................................................................................................30沥青:成本支撑利好,供需偏弱运行..........................................................................................................30燃料油:地缘扰动频繁,价格波动加剧......................................................................................................31天然气:TTF/JKM低位震荡,HH弱势震荡.................................................................................................32LPG:地缘短期溢价,预期仍承压................................................................................................................33PX&PTA:下游聚酯减产增多,地缘扰动成本支撑增强.............................................................................34BZ&EB:纯苯继续累库苯乙烯供需矛盾不大..............................................................................................35乙二醇:下游聚酯减产增多,价格上方空间有限......................................................................................35短纤:采购情绪谨慎,加工费承压..............................................................................................................36瓶片:部分检修装置计划公布......................................................................................................................37丙烯