每 日 早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:市场活跃度高涨............................................................................................................................3国债期货:PMI超预期叠加资金收敛,债市情绪转弱.................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应整体宽松盘面震荡运行..........................................................................................................5白糖:市场担忧异常天气影响糖产量............................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂整体震荡运行........................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米现货稳定,玉米期货高位震荡...................................................................................7生猪:供应压力好转现货偏强运行..............................................................................................................8花生:现货偏强,花生盘面偏强震荡............................................................................................................9苹果:套袋量增加苹果价格震荡................................................................................................................10鸡蛋:鸡蛋现货价格有所上涨......................................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:整体变化不大郑棉区间震荡...................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:现实和成本的矛盾下钢价维持震荡..................................................................................................13双焦:震荡运行..............................................................................................................................................13铁矿:终端需求低位,矿价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:供需弱稳,偏弱震荡......................................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:等待关键经济数据贵金属震荡运行.............................................................................................16铜:232消息落空,铜价持续震荡...............................................................................................................17氧化铝:铝土矿海运费下降现货成交价转降............................................................................................18电解铝:铝价承压运行关注美国就业数据.................................................................................................18铸造铝合金:随铝价承压回落......................................................................................................................19锌:关注资金情绪影响..................................................................................................................................20铅:供需双弱铅价区间震荡.........................................................................................................................21镍:缺乏利多支撑,继续寻底之路..............................................................................................................21 不锈钢:震荡偏弱消化高位风险..................................................................................................................22工业硅:空单离场,逢低买入......................................................................................................................23多晶硅:逢低买入..........................................................................................................................................23碳酸锂:复产落地,锂价反弹......................................................................................................................24锡:警惕宏观影响加大波动..........................................................................................................................25 航运及碳排放 集运:高点分歧加剧,马士基29周平开微降............................................................................................27干散货运价:散货市场延续回调,但区域市场走势分化..........................................................................28碳排放:中国碳价维持震荡,欧盟高温推动用能增加..............................................................................29 能源化工 原油:中东供应回升加剧过剩风险..............................................................................................................31沥青:现货价格持稳......................................................................................................................................31燃料油:燃料油供应环比增长......................................................................................................................32LPG:7月CP大幅回落..................................................................................................................................33天然气:旺季市场反弹..................................................................................................................................34PX&PTA:TA维持去库格局...........................................................................................................................35BZ&EB:开工率环比回升...............................................................................................................................36乙二醇:乙二醇库存持续去化中..........................................