
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:A股显示韧性.................................................................................................................................4国债期货:如期调整........................................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:宏观扰动增加粕类宽幅震荡..........................................................................................................6白糖:油价波动较大国际糖价大涨..............................................................................................................6油脂板块:关注今日mpob报告....................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:产区现货偏强,盘面高位震荡...........................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力较大价格整体下行..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:淘鸡积极性下降蛋价略有回升......................................................................................................10苹果:苹果库存下降价格较为坚挺............................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:棉价下方支撑大走势震荡偏强...............................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:地缘影响加剧,钢价延续震荡..........................................................................................................14双焦:波动较大,建议观望..........................................................................................................................14铁矿:供应扰动再起,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:短期驱动偏强,但盈亏比降低......................................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:特朗普再现Taco风险情绪初步好转................................................................................................17铂钯:美伊冲突暂时缓和贵金属价格震荡运行.........................................................................................17铜:美伊冲突缓和,铜价修复......................................................................................................................18氧化铝:海运费上涨对矿端存影响..............................................................................................................19电解铝:地缘冲突波及铝供应中东局势具有不确定性............................................................................20铸造铝合金:随铝价宽幅震荡运行..............................................................................................................21锌:警惕资金面对锌价影响..........................................................................................................................21 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................22镍:宏观主导行情运行..................................................................................................................................23不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................24工业硅:区间震荡..........................................................................................................................................25多晶硅:伊朗事件外溢影响有限,震荡偏弱..............................................................................................25碳酸锂:受宏观影响高位震荡......................................................................................................................26锡:特朗普言论缓解战争长期化,锡价或震荡运行..................................................................................27 航运及碳排放 集运:特朗普TACO迹象显现,3月下半月运价逐渐明朗........................................................................28干散货运价:短期运力调配冲击其他航线,关注后续地缘冲突局势的进展..........................................29碳排放:国内低碳政策延续,欧盟碳价继续受地区局势影响..................................................................30 能源化工 原油:市场交易特朗普TACO........................................................................................................................32沥青:地缘冲突背景下成本波动加剧..........................................................................................................33燃料油:地缘风险波动加剧..........................................................................................................................33LPG:跟随油价走势........................................................................................................................................34天然气:地缘风险反复,价格波动剧烈......................................................................................................35PX&PTA:PX检修季来临、部分预防性降负................................................................................................36BZ&EB:炼厂预防性降负,影响芳烃品种供应...........................................................................................37乙二醇:伊朗装置停车,中东进口货源受影响...................................................................