2026年技术预测

Surprises in 2026 Predictions •The speed, depth, and breadth of AI adoption over the course of last year biased the prediction team to beingmore near-term focused •Literally all predictions were AI-related,-influenced, or-driven; six were directly related (slide 7)•Many more predictions have higher impact on humanity than likelihood of success, requiring more funding (slide 16)•This forced the team to introduce risk–reward categories from remaining honorable mentions (slide 11)•Aggressive AI adoption enables or fosters: •new megatrends (health, energy, space, and robotics, slide 19) •new verticals (future of coding/work), and•new types of computing (in-memory, rack-scale, slide 7) •It seems like AI-driven technologies are advancing at a much higher rate than any other previous revolutions(digital transformation, industrial revolution)•Being a group of acknowledged technology experts, we have a bias toward believing in the “success” of technology. Therefore, a dedicated perspective on risks and rewards is introduced.•The optimism about relatively immature technologies (e.g., Social AI, AI Personalities) is also reflected in the anticipated adoption in 2026 2026TECHNOLOGYPREDICTIONS Ali Abedi, Alejandro Acero, Sheikh Iqbal Ahamed, Metin Akay, Karen Alexander, Mohamed Amin, Cherif Amirat, Jyotika Athavale,Mary Baker, Marc Beebe, Elisa Bertino,Jose Roberto Boisson de Marca', Greg Byrd, Tracy Camp, Lesleigh Campanale, Solimar Cárdenas, Jose Ignacio Castillo, Sri Chandra,Carl K. Chang, Rong N. Chang,Kyle Chard, Deming Chen, Ernestina Cianca, Tom Coughlin, Ernesto Damiani, Sanja Damjanovic, Marko Delimar, Ksenija Draskovic,Christof Ebert, Mohamed Essaaidi,Paolo Faraboschi, Rafael Ferreira da Silva, Nicola Ferrier, Eitan Frachtenberg, Jean-Luc Gaudiot, Ada Gavrilovska Habl, Glenn Ge, Alfredo Goldman, Izzat El Hajj,Sumi Helal, Sampath Heragu, Xiaobo Sharon Hu, Jerry Hudgins, Mike Ignatowski, Nebojsa Janjic, Lizy John, Steve Jordan, VincentKaaBunga, MrinalKarvir,Hironori Kasahara, Jim Keller, Simay Koehler, David Koehler, Anu Korhonen, Rakesh Kumar, Danny Lange,KeqiuLI, Shaoshan Liu, Antonio Luque, Albert A. Lysko,John McDonald, Avi Mendelson, Cecilia Metra, Dejan Milojicic(chair), Puneet Kumar Mishra, Oleg Missikoff, Christine Miyachi, Jamie Moesch, Khaled Mokhtar,Juliane Muller, AjayMungara, Chengappa Munjandira, John Munoz, Alon Newton, Louis Nisiotis, Maciej Ogorzalek, BojanaMiloradovicParman, Bob Parro,Sudeep Pasricha, Nita Patel, Chandrakant Patel, Tom Phelan, Alexandra Posoldova, Benjamin Riggan, Won Woo Ro, Marina Ruggieri, Melissa Russell, Martin Sadler,Roxanna Saint-Nom, Tomy Sebastian, Puneet Sharma, Sohaib Sheikh, Saurabh Sinha, David Snyder, Vesna Sossi, Leonel Sousa, Luka Strezoski, VladimirTerzija,George K. Thiruvathukal, Julio Toro, Isabel Trancoso, Michelle Tubb, Moshe Vardi, Gordana Velikic, John Verboncoeur, Irene Pazos Viana, JeffreyVoas,May Dongmei Wang, Rod Waterhouse, Kathy Weeks, Linda Wilson, Stefano Zanero, Gerd Zellweger, Ying Zhang. Alejandro AceroNational Academyof Engineering Cherif AmiratStevens Instituteof Tech. Jose Roberto Boisson de MarcaBrazilian National Academy ofEngineering Sheikh IqbalAhamedMarquette Univ. Ali AbediUniversity ofWisconsin Jyotika AthavaleSynopsys Elisa BertinoPurdue Univ. Karen AlexanderXRConnectED Marc BeebeIEEE Mary BakerHP Inc. Mohamed AminNokia Metin AkayCreteMetin AkayUniversity ofHouston Jose Ignacio CastilloAutonomousUniversity ofMexico City SrikanthChandrasekaranIEEE SA Tracy CampComputingResearch Asso. Ernestina CiancaUniversity ofRome Greg ByrdNC State, Raleigh Tom CoughlinCoughlin Associates Kyle ChardUniv. of Chicago Solimar CárdenasHCL Tech Carl K. ChangIowa State Univ. Lesleigh CampanaleIEEE Rong N. ChangIBM Research Deming ChenUniv. of Illinois Christof EbertVector ConsultingServices Izzat El HajjAmerican Univ. ofBeirut EitanFrachtenbergHewlett Packard Nicola FerrierArgonne NationalLab Mohamed EssaaidiMohammed VUniversity in Rabat Rafael Ferreira daSilvaOak Ridge Nat’l Lab Marko DelimarUniv. of Zagreb Sanja DamjanovicSan Jose State Univ. Ksenija DraskovicGlorifAI.ai Ernesto DamianiUniv. of Milan Jean-Luc GaudiotUC Irvine Paolo FaraboschiArm Steve JordanBay Area WaterSupply andConservation Jerry HudginsUniversity ofNebraska-Lincoln Ada GavrilovskaHablGaTech Xiaobo Sharon HuUniv. of NotreDame Alfredo GoldmanUniversity of SãoPaolo Sumi HelalUniv. of Bologna Lizy JohnUniv. of Texas Vincent KaaBungaAKEM Consulting Sampath HeraguIEEE Glenn GeTetraMem Janjic NebojsaCrestone Mike IgnatowskiAMD Shaoshan LiuShenzhen Institute ofAIand Robotics Simay A. KoehlerAK EnergyConsulting Rakesh KumarTXC, Inc. Keqiu LiTianjin Univ. Anu KorhonenUniv. of Helsinki Mrinal KarvirIntel David KoehlerQuanta Technology Hironori KasaharaWaseda University Albert A. LyskoCSIR Antonio LuqueUniversidad deSevilla Danny LangeUnity Technologies Jim KellerUniv. of Missouri Technology Predictions 2026 Team Statements