2018年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2018年第二季度）

EUROPEAN TOURISM IN 2018: Quarterly Report (Q2/2018) A quarterly insights report produced for the Market Intelligence Groupof theEuropean Travel Commission (ETC) Copyright © 2018 European Travel Commission European Tourism in 2018: Trends & Prospects (Q2/2018) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accuratelyand clearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While weencourage distribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link to ETC's The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the Data sources: This report includes data from the TourMIS database (http://www.tourmis.info), STR, Economic analysis and forecasts are provided by Tourism Economics and are for interpretation by Published and printed by the European Travel Commission Rue du Marché aux Herbes, 61, 1000 Brussels, BelgiumWebsite:www.etc-corporate.org Email:info@visiteurope.comISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) Cover:Budapest, Hungary–Aerial panoramic skyline view of Buda Castle Royal Palace withSzechenyi Chain Bridge, St.Stephen's Basilica, Hungarian Parliament and Matthias Church at sunrisewith blue skyImage ID:1078814498 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword ............................................................................................................. 41. Tourism Performance Summary 2018 ............................................................ 72.Global Tourism Forecast Summary.............................................................. 103. Recent Industry Performance ....................................................................... 113.1Air Transport .......................................................................................... 113.2 Accommodation..................................................................................... 144. Special Feature: South Korean Outbound Travel in 2018 ............................ 165. Key Source Market Performance .................................................................. 205.1 Key Intra-European Markets.................................................................. 205.2 Non-European Markets.......................................................................... 266. Origin Market Share Analysis........................................................................ 306.1 United States.......................................................................................... 316.2 Canada................................................................................................... 326.3 Mexico.................................................................................................... 336.4 Argentina................................................................................................ 346.5 Brazil ...................................................................................................... 356.6 India ....................................................................................................... 36 FOREWORD EUROPEAN TOURISM MAINTAINS ITS MOMENTUM TOWARDS THE European tourism demand remains robust, continuing the trends observedearlier in the year. Despite a projected slowdown in the global economy,destinations in Europe saw solid growth that paved the way for an encouragingsummer season. Year-to-date results have been mainly driven by strong intra- Sustained growth has been recorded by all (33) reporting destinations, out ofwhich one third saw growth in excess of 10%. Turkey (+33%) is enjoying astrong recovery–following a bleak 2016 and 2017–as perceptions of risk A mix of Balkan and island destinations also saw substantial increases from awide range of source markets during the off-peak seasons. Croatia was up+27% trailed by Montenegro (+22%), the latter also benefitted from increasedair routes connected to some of Europe’s largest source markets. Arrivals Foreign visits to select destinations 2018 year-to-date*, % change year ago Iceland (+6%) grew at a more moderate pace compared to recent years,easing concerns about capacity and infrastructure constraints. Traditionalhotspots such as Spain (+2%) and Portugal (+4%) reported a moderateincrease. Both destinations saw declines from some of their largest European RECENT INDUSTRY INDICATORS SUGGEST ANOTHER POSITIVE YEAR Global travel demand continues to edge up even as airlines face increased fuelprices that may lead to higher fares. Air traffic growth across the Atlantic isexpected to remain steady helped by a strong economic growth in the USdespite volatile exchange rates rendering travel to parts of Europe lessaffordable. Year-to-date European RPK is up 6.6% behind that of Asia/Pacific The accommodation sector in Europe also saw growth across all indicators.Occupancy rates were up 1.3%, suggesting that hotels appear m