您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [国泰君安证券]:原油周报 - 发现报告

原油周报

2026-02-09 黄柳楠 国泰君安证券 王英杰
报告封面

CONTENTS Macroscopic View The gold-to-oil ratio has rebound Pay attention to inflation transmission Monthly export volume overview ofOPEC+coremember countries The operating rates of the United States and Europe may gradually increase seasonally, while the operatingrates of China's main refineries have rebounded and the operating rates of local refineries have stabilized U.S. commercial inventories stabilize; Cushing regional inventories remain significantlybelow historical averages Refining margins fluctuate with a strong bias Price and Spread OurcompanyhasthequalificationforfuturestradingconsultingbusinessapprovedbytheChinaSecuritiesRegulatoryCommission TheviewsandinformationinthiscontentareforprofessionalinvestorsofGuotaiJunanFuturesonly.Itisdifficulttosetupaccessprivilegesforthiscontent,sopleaseunderstandifitcausesanyinconveniencetoyou.IfyouarenotaprofessionalinvestoramongtheclientsofGuotaiJunanFutures,pleasedonotread,subscribetoorreceiveanyrelatedinformation.Thiscontentdoesnotconstitutearecommendationofanyspecific AnalystStatement TheauthorhasapracticingqualificationinfuturesinvestmentconsultingorequivalentprofessionalcompetencegrantedbytheChinaFuturesIndustryAssociation.Itisherebydeclaredthatthedatausedinthereportarefromcompliantsources,thelogicoftheanalysisisbasedontheauthor'sprofessionalunderstanding,thereportclearlyandaccuratelyreflectstheauthor'sresearchviewpoints,andthereportstrivestobeindependent,objectiveandunbiased,andtheconclusionsarenotsubjecttoanythird-party'sauthorizationorinfluence. Disclaimer TheinformationinthisreportisderivedfrompubliclyavailableinformationandtheCompanydoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completenessorreliabilityofsuchinformation.Theinformation,opinionsandassumptionscontainedinthisreportreflectthejudgmentoftheCompanyasofthedateofissuanceofthisreport.Pricesoftheunderlyingfuturesreferredtointhisreportmaygoupaswellasdown,andpast Theresearchservicesreferredtointhisreportmaynotbesuitableforindividualclientsanddonotconstituteprivateadvice.Undernocircumstancesdoestheinformationoropinionsexpressedinthisreportconstituteinvestmentadvicetoanyone.UndernocircumstancesdoestheCompany,itsemployeesoraffiliatespromiseinvestorsanycertaintyofprofit,shareinvestmentreturnswithinvestors,oracceptany Themarketinvolvesrisksandinvestmentshouldbemadewithcaution.Investorsshouldnotusethisreportasthesolereferenceformakinginvestmentdecisions,norshouldtheyconsiderthisreportasasubstitutefortheirownjudgment.Beforedecidingtoinvest,investorsshouldalwaysseekprofessionaladviceandexercisecautionifnecessary.ThecopyrightofthisreportissolelyownedbytheCompany.Withoutwrittenpermission,noinstitutionorindividualmayreproduce,duplicateordistributethisreportinanyform.Ifquotedorpublished,thesourcemustbeindicatedas“GuotaiJunanFuturesResearch”,and Copyrightstatement Special report on Guotai Junan Futures THANK YOU FOR WATCHING