2026年创新能力展望

InnovationCapabilitiesOutlook 2026 This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International.The user is allowed to reproduce, distribute, adapt, translate and publiclyperform this publication, including for commercial purposes, withoutexplicit permission, provided that the content is accompanied by anacknowledgement that WIPO is the source and that it is clearly indicated ifchanges were made to the original content. © WIPO, 2026First published 2026 World IntellectualProperty Organization34, chemin des ColombettesP.O. Box 18 CH-1211Geneva 20Switzerland Suggested citation: World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)(2026).Innovation Capabilities Outlook 2026. Geneva: WIPO. DOI:10.34667/tind.59097 ISBN: 978-92-805-3894-6 (print) Adaptation/translation/derivatives should not carry any official emblem orlogo, unless they have been approved and validated by WIPO. Please contactus via the WIPO website to obtain permission. ISBN: 978-92-805-3895-3(online) For any derivative work, please include the following disclaimer: “TheSecretariat of WIPO assumes no liability or responsibility with regard tothe transformation or translation of the original content.” When contentpublished by WIPO, such as images, graphics, trademarks or logos, isattributed to a third party, the user of such content is solely responsible forclearing the rights with the right holder(s). To view a copy of this license, please visithttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 Any dispute arising under this license that cannot be settled amicably shallbe referred to arbitration in accordance with Arbitration Rules of the UnitedNations Commission on International Trade Law (UNCITRAL) then in force.The parties shall be bound by any arbitration award rendered as a result ofsuch arbitration as the final adjudication of such a dispute. The designations employed and the presentation of material throughoutthis publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoeveron the part of WIPO concerning the legal status of any country, territoryor area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiersor boundaries. This publication is not intended to reflect the views of the Member States orthe WIPO Secretariat. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers does notimply that they are endorsed or recommended by WIPO in preference toothers of a similar nature that are not mentioned. WIPO Publication No. 1091/26 Cover: Kvalifik, Planet Volumes, Oporanhho/Unsplash Contents Acknowledgments6 Executive summary7 Introducing the global network of innovation capabilities8 Four dimensions reveal patterns in the innovation landscape9Innovation capabilities vary in complexity11Power is in connections11Connections reveal ecosystem maturity12Innovation capabilities are dynamic13 Is the world leveraging its innovation capabilities?14 Global innovation expansion and growing complexity14Who is taking a strategic approach to capability development?22So, is the world leveraging its innovation capabilities?26 Where are the opportunities for innovation?27 A virtuous cycle: stronger ecosystems unlock more opportunities27Where innovation potential remains untapped31Opportunities as a road map for strategic innovation policy36 Glossary 37 Bibliography39 Acknowledgments The Innovation Capabilities Outlook 2026 was developed through a partnership between WIPOand Harvard University's Growth Lab (HGL), under the general direction of Daren Tang (DirectorGeneral) and Marco Alemán (Assistant Director General). The report was supervised by CarstenFink (Chief Economist) and Ricardo Hausmann (founder and Director of HGL), prepared by ateam led by Julio Raffo (Head of Innovation Economy Section, WIPO) and Muhammed A. Yildirim(Director of Academic Research, HGL). The team included Christian Chacua, Matte Hartog,Shreyas Gadgin Matha and Federico Moscatelli. The team gratefully acknowledges the valuable contributions and feedback from EduardoHernandez-Rodriguez, Sergio Palomeque, Jennifer Brandt, Elias Collette and members of theGrowth Lab. Finally, gratitude is due to editorial and design colleagues in the Publications andDesign Section for leading the production of the report. Executive summary Knowledge is expanding globally, yet most countries struggle to harness this growth effectively.Global innovation remains strikingly concentrated: a small number of leading economiesaccount for the vast majority of scientific publications, patents, trademarks, and advancedexports, whereas most contribute less than 1 percent to any innovation dimension. Successdoes not require a big push in all fields, but instead lies in strategically diversifying into complexskills while at the same time maintaining intensity in high-value areas – a balancing act that onlythe most sophisticated innovation ecosystems have mastered. Mapping the global innovation landscape TheInnovation Capabilities Outlook (ICO) 2026analyzes 2