62个将影响2026年的科技趋势：以及不会影响2026年的趋势

FROM OURCHIEF RESEARCH OFFICER This past year has been shaped by a complex mix of macro stabilization and structural strain. Inflation has continued toease in some regions, monetary policy is gradually normalizing, and supply chains have become more predictable. However, geopolitical tensions still weigh heavily on the minds of technology decision makers. Conflict zones remainactive and tariff policies have shaken up the status quo. At the same time, energy availability, climate pressures, andskills shortages continue to limit global economic growth. As a result, the technology sector has shifted from crisismode to being cautiously optimistic. Within this environment, 2026 will be defined by pragmatic transformation. Across the markets that ABI Researchanalyzes, a consistent pattern is emerging: organizations will invest where technology reduces risk, lowers cost, ordirectly boosts productivity. The appetite for sweeping visionary promises is fading. Enterprises want practical results,quick wins, and solutions that address long-standing operational challenges. Artificial Intelligence (AI) will continue to be a key talking point in the boardroom. While Generative and Agentic toolswill certainly progress, purchasing decisions will revolve around targeted workflows, automation of routine tasks, andstructured orchestration. New cloud models are also materializing, which reflect enterprise demand for sovereign, full-stack solutions. Meanwhile, organizations across logistics, buildings, energy, and manufacturing increasingly prioritizesolutions that enhance decision-making, not merely visibility platforms. Taken together, 2026 will be a year of disciplined modernization. The organizations that succeed will be those thatreduce complexity, deliver measurable value, and address the most immediate operational challenges. ABI Researchlooks forward to helping clients navigate this transformative year. Stuart Carlaw RESEARCH SERVICE AREAS Industrial & Manufacturing Technologies...........14Industrial, Collaborative &Commercial Robotics.........................................15IoT Hardware....................................................16IoT Markets.......................................................17IoT Networks & Platforms...................................18Location Technologies.......................................20Quantum Safe Technologies..............................21RFID..................................................................22Smart Buildings.................................................23Smart Energy.....................................................24 5G Devices, Smartphones & Wearables...............35G, 6G & Open RAN.............................................4AI & Machine Learning.........................................5Automotive..........................................................6Citizen Digital Identity..........................................7Cloud..................................................................8Digital Payment Technologies..............................9Enterprise Connectivity......................................10eSIM & SIM Solutions........................................11Freight Transportation.......................................12Industrial & Manufacturing Markets..................13 Smart Living & Consumer Technologies..............25Space Technologies & Innovation.......................26Supply Chain Management Software.................27Telco AI..............................................................28Trusted Device Solutions...................................29Warehousing & Fulfillment................................30Wi-Fi & WLAN Technologies & Market................31Wi-Fi, Bluetooth & Wireless Connectivity............32XR Markets........................................................33XR Technologies.................................................34 5G DEVICES, SMARTPHONES & WEARABLES 1WILLHAPPENSMART WEARABLE SALES WILL STRENGTHEN. The wearable devices sector represents a confluence of miniaturized technology, fashion, and personal aspirations/concerns.Originally, the lineup only included wired headphones and smartphones cases, but since then, smartwatches, smart rings, smartclothing, and even Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled glasses have been added to the mix. One of the most iconic bastions of the wearables market is the smartwatch. Seiko may have introduced one of the first smart-watches,the Seiko Ruputer in 1998, but it was not until the advent of the Apple Watch in 2015 that the smartwatch market took off. TheCOVID-19 pandemic triggered an upswell of sales in smartwatches as end users sought out fitness, health, and well-being monitors.This led to an overhang of sales that dampened unit shipments from 2023 to 2025. However, ABI Research anticipates an upswing insales (+6.5% in Year-over-Year (YoY) wearable device revenue) that has been led by the smartwatch market. It is not just step counting and calori