
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:美股反弹有利风偏提升................................................................................................................3国债期货:债市情绪不弱,但短期或仍难有趋势........................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:出口前景好转美豆支撑仍存..........................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价震荡调整国内糖价略偏强..................................................................................................5油脂板块:10月马棕如期累库,油脂震荡磨底...........................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货反弹,盘面偏强震荡...................................................................................................7生猪:出栏压力稳定价格震荡运行..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生短期底部震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求有所改善蛋价略有回升..............................................................................................................10苹果:新果陆续入库果价稳定为主..............................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:采摘进入尾声棉价震荡为主.....................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:螺纹供应增长,钢价区间震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:短期震荡调整等待回调后做多的机会............................................................................................13铁矿:偏空思路对待......................................................................................................................................14铁合金:成本有所支撑,前期空单减持......................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:市场流动性预期提振,贵金属震荡走强......................................................................................16铜:短期震荡..................................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:现货成交止跌带动价格反弹警惕基差带动的抛压..................................................................18电解铝:海外供应担忧仍在铝价震荡偏强................................................................................................19铸造铝合金:海外宏观情绪反复铝合金随铝价偏强震荡.........................................................................20锌:关注出口量级..........................................................................................................................................21 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................22镍:成本松动镍价震荡走弱.........................................................................................................................23不锈钢:不锈钢:供需两弱原料承压........................................................................................................23工业硅:多单持有,区间高点附近及时兑现收益......................................................................................24多晶硅:回调充分后买入..............................................................................................................................25碳酸锂:供需偏紧高位运行.........................................................................................................................25锡:宏观推动锡价行......................................................................................................................................26 航运板块 集运:宣涨落地预期下调,关注马士基开舱价..........................................................................................28 能源化工 原油:风险偏好略有回升,制裁持续扰动油价..........................................................................................30沥青:现货维持弱势,成本略有支撑..........................................................................................................30燃料油:低硫短期供应缺口支撑..................................................................................................................31PX&PTA:成本支撑有限需求尚可................................................................................................................32乙二醇:四季度供需走向宽松,累库预期仍存..........................................................................................33短纤:产销偏弱,库存上升..........................................................................................................................34PR(瓶片):淡季需求改善力度有限.............................................................................................................34纯苯苯乙烯:供需格局偏弱短期价格震荡.................................................................................................35丙烯:供应压力仍在,维持弱势..................................................................................................................36塑料PP:关注支撑,PP空单离场................................................................................................................36烧碱:烧碱价格偏弱..................................................................