量化周报：科创50确认日线级别上涨

请仔细阅读本报告末页声明 作者分析师执业证书编号：S0680518030007邮箱：liufubing@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680518100004邮箱：linzhipeng@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680521120005邮箱：shenzhiqi@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680522070006邮箱：liangsihan@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680524060003邮箱：zhangguoan@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680524070004邮箱：zhaobowen@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号：S0680525070003邮箱：wangyisheng@gszq.com研究助理执业证书编号：S0680124070019邮箱：ruanjunye@gszq.com相关研究1、《量化分析报告：择时雷达六面图：估值与拥挤度分数继续弱化》2025-07-262、《量化分析报告：股票仓位继续提升，连续6期加仓港股——主动权益基金2025Q2季报全方位分析》2025-07-223、《量化点评报告：为什么不看好长债：资产赔率、宏观胜率与价量特征》2025-07-22 刘富兵林志朋沈芷琦梁思涵张国安赵博文汪宜生阮俊烨 P.2内容目录1.市场走势分析.....................................................................................................................................41.1科创50确认日线级别上涨...........................................................................................................41.2创业板处于日线级别上涨中.........................................................................................................52.市场行业分析.....................................................................................................................................62.1中期看多纺服、非银、电力设备及新能源、消费者服务，看空石油石化、房地产..............................62.2建材确认周线上涨，汽车、煤炭迎来日线上涨................................................................................73.市场景气与情绪观察...........................................................................................................................83.1 A股景气指数观察.......................................................................................................................83.2 A股情绪指数观察.......................................................................................................................94.情绪指标择时和主题投资机会.............................................................................................................114.1半导体概念股机会.....................................................................................................................114.2中证500增强组合....................................................................................................................114.3沪深300增强组合....................................................................................................................135.市场风格分析....................................................................................................................................155.1风格因子表现...........................................................................................................................155.2市场主要指数收益风格归因........................................................................................................16风险提示..............................................................................................................................................18附录：..................................................................................................................................................18指数分析及投资建议........................................................................................................................18行业分析及投资建议........................................................................................................................18图表目录图表1：上证综指走势结构图.................................................................................................................4图表2：上证50走势结构图...................................................................................................................4图表3：沪深300走势结构图.................................................................................................................4图表4：中证500走势结构图.................................................................................................................4图表5：中证1000走势结构图...............................................................................................................5图表6：深证成指走势结构图.................................................................................................................5图表7：创业板指走势结构图.................................................................................................................5图表8：消费者服务中期走势结构图........................................................................................................6图表9：纺服中期走势结构图.................................................................................................................6图表10：电力设备及新能源中期走势结构图............................................................................................6图表11：非银中期走势结构图...............................................................................................................6图表12：房地产中期走势结构图............................................................................................................7图表13：石油石化中期走势结构图.........................................................................................................7图表14：当前下行周期与历史平均趋势（横坐标：持续天数）..................................................................8图表15：A股景气度指数......................................................................................................................9图表16：