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方慧玲首席分析师(棉花&糖)从业资格号:F3039861投资咨询号:Z0010565Tel:8621-63325888-2737Email:huiling.fang@orientfutures.com黄玉萍资深分析师(油籽&豆菜粕)从业资格号:F3079233投资咨询号:Z0015897Tel:8621-63325888-3907Email:yuping.hang@orientfutures.com吴冰心高级分析师(生猪&鸡蛋&原木)从业资格号:F03087442投资咨询号:Z0019498Tel:8621-63325888-4192Email:bingxin.wu@orientfutures.com杨云兰高级分析师(玉米&玉米淀粉&橡胶)从业资格号:F03107631投资咨询号:Z0021468Tel:8621-63325888-4192Email:yunlan.yang@orientfutures.com李兆聪高级分析师(油脂)从业资格号:F03117868投资咨询号Z0022718Tel:8621-63325888-4192Email:zhaocong.li@orientfutures.com 目录1、上期策略回顾.....................................................................................................................................................................42、本期策略推荐.....................................................................................................................................................................52.1、单边策略...........................................................................................................................................................................2.2、套利策略...........................................................................................................................................................................2.3、推荐策略逻辑详述及相关指标跟踪...............................................................................................................................2.3.1、豆粕............................................................................................................................................................................2.3.2、油脂板块....................................................................................................................................................................2.3.3、玉米板块....................................................................................................................................................................2.3.4、棉花板块..................................................................................................................................................................3、农产品品种间强弱排序....................................................................................................................................................3.1、农产品各主要品种观点.................................................................................................................................................3.2、主要指标跟踪.................................................................................................................................................................3.2.1、资金面动态..............................................................................................................................................................3.2.2、各品种基差及基差率(2025年7月14日)........................................................................................................3.2.3、农产品期货强弱排序及多空配置策略..................................................................................................................4、风险提示...........................................................................................................................................................................20 2期货研究报告56667910141417171819 图表目录图表1:过去一个月(5.14-6.13)农产品期货品种主力合约涨跌幅情况.................................................................................................图表2:巴西出口CNF升贴水......................................................................................................................................................................图表3:中国大豆月度进口量........................................................................................................................................................................图表4:油厂豆粕库存....................................................................................................................................................................................图表5:华东-M2509现货基差......................................................................................................................................................................图表6:中国棕榈油库存回升........................................................................................................................................................................图表7:近月进口利润小幅回升....................................................................................................................................................................图表8:国际豆棕价差维持升水.....................................................................................................................................................................图表9:印度豆棕CNF价差维持升水...........................................................................................................................................................图表10:北港玉米库存.................................................................................................................................................................................图表11:深加工企业玉米库存消费比................