AI智能总结
东吴证券研究所1/262025年07月07日证券分析师苏铖执业证书:S0600524120010such@dwzq.com.cn证券分析师郭晓东执业证书:S0600525040001guoxd@dwzq.com.cn《啤酒行业深度:攻守兼备,优质龙头已进入击球区》2025-05-22《大众品2024年报及2025年一季报总结:需求筑底,细分突围》2025-05-072024/11/52025/3/52025/7/3食品饮料沪深300 行业走势相关研究-11%-7%-3%1%5%9%13%17%21%25%2024/7/8 内容目录1.黄酒行业历经深度调整,当下发生积极变化..................................................................................51.1.黄酒行业利润率迎来边际拐点,龙头呈现量价齐升.............................................................51.2.黄酒行业CR2市占率持续提升,龙头引导产业变革...........................................................62.产业借鉴一——供需共振引导中国啤酒产业升级..........................................................................83.产业借鉴二——高端化下日本清酒产业逆势崛起........................................................................134.改革蓄力锐意进取,龙头竞合发展引领行业突围........................................................................214.1.会稽山:锐意进取,引领产业变革.......................................................................................214.2.古越龙山:跟进布局,期待机制优化...................................................................................225.投资建议............................................................................................................................................246.风险提示............................................................................................................................................25 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分东吴证券研究所2/26 图表目录图1:2023年黄酒行业迎来边际拐点,规模以上企业利润率明显抬升..........................................5图2:会稽山、古越龙山、金枫酒业销量拆分一览...........................................................................6图3:会稽山、古越龙山、金枫酒业吨价拆分一览...........................................................................6图4:2021年以来黄酒行业CR2市占率加快提升............................................................................6图5:会稽山、古越龙山加大产品推新节奏,产品矩阵逐步清晰...................................................7图6:会稽山、古越龙山、金枫酒业CR3江浙沪地区、其他地区收入增速一览.........................7图7:2025年618活动期间会稽山气泡黄酒收入呈现区域多元化趋势..........................................7图8:啤酒产业升级思维导图一览.......................................................................................................8图9:2018年啤酒行业CR2市占率维持在40%+..............................................................................9图10:华润啤酒组织变革一览.............................................................................................................9图11:青岛啤酒组织变革一览.............................................................................................................9图12:2018-2024年啤酒龙头吨价一览..............................................................................................9图13:2019-2024年啤酒龙头吨价增速一览......................................................................................9图14:2023年黄酒行业CR2市占率为37.4%.................................................................................10图15:2024年会稽山组织变革一览..................................................................................................10图16:2024年古越龙山组织变革一览..............................................................................................10图17:会稽山、古越龙山中高档销量占比处于低位.......................................................................10图18:会稽山、古越龙山中高档吨酒价加快提升...........................................................................10图19:啤酒品类购买时的考虑因素...................................................................................................11图20:高端及超高端啤酒持续快速增长...........................................................................................11图21:高端及超高端酒消费量占比持续提升...................................................................................11图22:消费者不喝或少喝黄酒的原因...............................................................................................12图23:消费者心目中好喝黄酒的原因...............................................................................................12图24:2024年会稽山核心单品收入增速一览..................................................................................12图25:2025年618活动期间会稽山“一日一熏”消费者画像一览..............................................12图26:日本清酒产业发展复盘一览...................................................................................................14图27:日本酒精饮料销量变化一览...................................................................................................14图28:獭祭品牌销售额及同比增速...................................................................................................15图29:獭祭海外销售占比提升至40%..............................................................................................15图30:2024年獭祭海外收入分区域占比一览..................................................................................15图31:獭祭品牌高端化思维导图一览...............................................................................................17图32:会稽山高端兰亭系列工艺特点...............................................................................................20图33:古越龙山高端国酿1959工艺特点.........................................................................................20图34:会稽山历史复盘一览...............................................................................................................21图35:会稽山增