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期货研究院黑色建材团队段智栈从业资格证号:F03140418投资咨询证号:Z0021604联系方式:18810293832投资咨询业务资格:京证监许可【2012】75号成文时间:2025年07月03日星期四更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 摘要【重要资讯】增长5.6%。锰硅:【市场逻辑】逢低补回仓位。【交易策略】硅铁:【市场逻辑】格变动情况。 作者: 铁合金日度策略在供应收缩预期及市场情绪带动下的上涨,支撑性不强,硅铁多单逐步兑现利润,回调后再补回仓位。下方关注5150-5200元/吨附近支撑位,上方关注5500-5550元/吨附近压力位。 【交易策略】 第一部分交易策略与期现行情..................................................................................................................1第二部分铁合金基本面...........................................................................................................................2一、周度产需情况....................................................................................................................................2二、铁合金库存.......................................................................................................................................4三、铁合金生产成本................................................................................................................................5第三部分期权策略..................................................................................................................................7一、锰硅期权...........................................................................................................................................7二、硅铁期权...........................................................................................................................................7 图目录图1:锰硅期现走势................................................................................................................................................................................1图2:硅铁期现走势................................................................................................................................................................................2图3:硅锰:产量:当周值.......................................................................................................................................................................2图4:硅铁:产量:当周值.......................................................................................................................................................................2图5:硅锰:开工率:当周值..................................................................................................................................................................3图6:硅铁:开工率:当周值..................................................................................................................................................................3图7:硅锰:需求量:当周值..................................................................................................................................................................3图8:硅铁:需求量:当周值..................................................................................................................................................................3图9:日均铁水产量:全国(样本数247家):当周值........................................................................................................................3图10:硅锰:库存:全国:期末值.........................................................................................................................................................4图11:硅铁:库存:全国:期末值.........................................................................................................................................................4图12:库存天数:硅锰:全国:期末值................................................................................................................................................4图13:库存天数:硅铁:全国:期末值................................................................................................................................................5图15:硅锰:现货生产成本..................................................................................................................................................................5图16:硅锰:现货利润...........................................................................................................................................................................5图17:硅铁:现货生产成本................................................................................................................................................................6图18:硅铁:现货利润...........................................................................................................................................................................6图19:平均价:兰炭:宁夏.....................................................................................................................................................................6图20:市场价:化工焦:山西..............................................................................................................................................................6图21:锰硅期权成交量.........................................................................................................................................................................7图22:锰硅期权成交持仓量...................................................................................