2025年6月30日看好市场表现截至2025/6/30分析师:方曼乔登记编码:S1490524100001邮箱:fangmanqiao@crsec.com.cn证券研究报告 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明目录一、市场回顾.................................................................................................................................................................................5二、行业重点新闻.........................................................................................................................................................................7(一)中国至美国的集装箱运费下滑明显.........................................................................................................................7(二)VLCC(超大型原油运输船)价格“跳水”..........................................................................................................7(三)全球燃油价格呈下降趋势.........................................................................................................................................8(四)未来十年大批老龄船舶将退场.................................................................................................................................8(五)国航远洋:将对外投资设立新加坡公司.................................................................................................................8(六)交通运输部:力争到2030年建成现代化内河水运联通体系...............................................................................8(七)国家邮政局公布2025年5月邮政行业运行情况...................................................................................................9三、行业数据................................................................................................................................................................................9(一)航空机场....................................................................................................................................................................9(二)航运港口..................................................................................................................................................................11(三)物流..........................................................................................................................................................................15(四)铁路公路..................................................................................................................................................................16四、投资建议...............................................................................................................................................................................19五、风险提示...............................................................................................................................................................................19 2 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明图表目录图表1:申万一级行业周涨跌幅(2025/6/23-6/27).................................................................................................................5图表2:本周大盘指数涨跌幅(2025/6/23-6/27).....................................................................................................................5图表3:年初至今大盘指数涨跌幅(2025/1/1-6/27)...............................................................................................................5图表4:二级细分行业涨跌幅(2025/6/23-6/27).....................................................................................................................6图表5:三级细分行业涨跌幅(2025/6/23-6/27).....................................................................................................................6图表6:交运行业个股涨幅前十(2025/6/23-6/27).................................................................................................................6图表7:交运行业个股跌幅前十(2025/6/23-6/27).................................................................................................................6图表8:交运行业央企涨幅前五(2025/6/23-6/27).................................................................................................................7图表9:交运行业市盈率..............................................................................................................................................................7图表10:民航客运量..................................................................................................................................................................10图表11:民航旅客周转量..........................................................................................................................................................10图表12:民航货邮运输量..........................................................................................................................................................10图表13:民航货邮周转量..........................................................................................................................................................10图表14:中国:出厂价(含税):航空煤油.....................................................................................................................................11图表15:即期汇率:美元兑人民币..................................................................................................................