哈萨克斯坦共和国：关于国民账户任务的技术援助报告（2023年11月6日至17日）

TECHNICALASSISTANCEREPORT REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN Report on National Accounts Mission,November 6 – 17, 2023 JUNE 2024 PREPARED BYLevan Gogoberishvili Authoring Department:IMFStatisticsDepartment MEMBERS Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia,Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan PARTNERS Switzerland, Russia, China, Korea, United States, European Union, Asian Development Bank,Poland DISCLAIMER The contents of this report constitute technical advice provided by the staff ofthe InternationalMonetary Fund (IMF) to the authorities of Kazakhstan (the “CD recipient”) in response to their requestfor technical assistance. This report (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof may be disclosed bythe IMF to IMF Executive Directors and to other IMF Executive Directors and members of their staff,as well as to other agencies or instrumentalities of the CD recipient, and upon their request, to WorldBank staff, and other technical assistance providers and donors with legitimate interest, includingmembers of the Steering Committee of CCAMTAC, unless the CD recipient specifically objects tosuch disclosure (seeStaff Operational Guidance on The Dissemination of Capacity DevelopmentInformation (imf.org)). Publication or Disclosure of this report (in whole or in part) or summariesthereof to parties outside the IMF other than agencies or instrumentalities of the CD recipient, WorldBank staff, other technical assistance providers and donors with legitimate interest, includingmembers of the Steering Committee of CCAMTAC, shall require the explicit consent of the TArecipient and the IMF’s Statistics Department. Table of Contents Acronyms................................................................................................................................................... 2Summary of Mission Outcomes and Priority Recommendations........................................................ 3Detailed Technical Assessment and Recommendations ..................................................................... 4A.Quarterly GDP on a Discrete Basis ..................................................................................................... 5B.Data Release Calendar........................................................................................................................ 6C.Other Important Issues ........................................................................................................................ 7Data Sources ........................................................................................................................................... 7Regional GDP.......................................................................................................................................... 8Sectorization of Institutional Units ........................................................................................................... 8D.Officials Met During the Mission .......................................................................................................... 8 Acronyms Summary of Mission Outcomes and Priority Recommendations 1.A technical assistance (TA) mission of the Caucasus, Central Asia, and MongoliaRegional Capacity Development Center (CCAMTAC) visited Astana during November 6–17,2023.The mission assisted the Bureau of National Statistics (BNS) under the Agency for StrategicPlanning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan in developing quarterly national accounts. 2.The mission reviewed existing large statistical discrepancies between GDP byproduction (GDPP) and GDP by expenditure (GDPE).The BNS includes the statistical discrepancyas a separate row when publishing preliminary estimates of annual GDP. In addition, the annualsupply and use tables (SUT) are published after t+11 months, in which the discrepancy is removedvia the supply-use balancing process. To date, the BNS does not adjust the annual GDP estimatesafter the publication of SUT. As a result, two different values of nominal GDP are published on theBNS website. The mission recommended that the BNS introduces an additional revision date andafter t+11 months to revise national accounts data, which should be fully aligned with the SUT. 3.The mission and BNS staff prepared the GDP release schedule that will take effect afterthe release of discrete quarterly GDP.Currently, GDP estimates for the previous cumulativeperiods are not adjusted after the publication of GDP for the new cumulative period. Among otherimportant changes, the new data release schedule includes an additional adjustment of annual GDP,whereby national accounts data will be fully aligned with the annual SUT. 4.The mission reviewed the status of implementation of recommendations made byprevious TA missions.Most of the recommendations have already been implemented, but there aresome areas that require further progress. Recommendations concerning the improvement of datasources are still ongoing. The mi