阿拉伯叙利亚共和国：技术援助报告——国民账户汇编任务报告（2025年9月2日至4日）（英）2025

THE SYRIAN ARABREPUBLIC Report on theNational AccountsCompilation Mission (September 2–4, 2025) OCTOBER2025 PREPARED BYGregory Legoff The contents of this document constitute technical advice provided by the staff of the International MonetaryFund to the authorities of Syria in response to their request for technical assistance. Unless the CD recipientspecifically objects to such disclosure, this document (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof may bedisclosed by the IMF to the IMF Executive Director for Syria, to other IMF Executive Directors and membersof their staff, as well as to other agencies or instrumentalities of the CD recipient, and upon their request, toWorld Bank staff, and other technical assistance providers and donors with legitimate interest members ofthe Steering Committee of METAC (seeStaff Operational Guidance on the Dissemination of CapacityDevelopment Information). Publication or Disclosure of this report (in whole or in part) to parties outside theIMF other than agencies or instrumentalities of the CD recipient, World Bank staff, other technical assistanceproviders and donors with legitimate interest members of the Steering Committee of METAC shall requirethe explicit consent of the CD recipient and the IMF’s Statistics Department. The analysis and policy considerations expressed in this publication are those of the IMF StatisticsDepartment. International Monetary Fund, IMF PublicationsP.O. Box 92780, Washington, DC 20090, U.S.A.T. +(1) 202.623.7430 • F. +(1) 202.623.7201publications@IMF.orgIMF.org/pubs Acknowledgments MEMBERS DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS Contents Acknowledgments...........................................................................................................................................3Abbreviations and Acronyms ........................................................................................................................5Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................6Recommendations..........................................................................................................................................7I. Overview of Technical Assistance Needs .................................................................................................8II. Methodological Review...............................................................................................................................9III. Work Plan to Improve 2022–24 Annual GDP Estimates .......................................................................13 Tables Table 1. Detailed Recommendations ................................................................................................................7Table 2. Methodological Review .......................................................................................................................9 Annex 1. Officials met During the Mission..................................................................................................................14 Abbreviations and Acronyms CBSCentral Bureauof StatisticsMETACMiddle East Regional Technical Assistance CenterSUTsSupply andUseTablesUNESCWAUnited Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia Executive Summary At the request of the Syrian authorities, a mission was conducted in Beirut, Lebanon, fromSeptember 2 to 4, 2025, by Gregory Legoff, Real Sector Statistics Advisor at the IMF Middle EastRegional Technical Assistance Center (METAC).The mission reviewed the work plan to improve annualGDP estimates for 2022–24 and made recommendations to the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS). The initial phase of the project requires a comprehensive review of data sources and methods usedfor the compilation of recent annual GDP estimates by December 2025.Immediate efforts will improveGDP estimates for 2022–24. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia(UNESCWA) has developed a workplan to enhance national accounts, coordinating with METAC onmethodological improvements. To ensure data consistency, fill gaps, and reduce future revisions, compilingsimple supply and use tables (SUTs) before finalizing new estimates is recommended. Postponing thecompilation of SUTs after the compilation and release of GDP estimates may require later revisions thatwould impact users and the CBS credibility. A feasibility study will assess whether basic SUTs can becompiled by December 2025 or if a commodity flow analysis should focus only on key GDP components.Compiling simple SUTs would be preferable. The second phase of the project after December 2025 will focus on medium-term improvements andcapacity development, building on the foundation established in the initial stage.This will involvetargeted training for CBS staff on advanced national accounts methodologies, enhancing data integrationfrom various administrative sources, and developin