马达加斯加IEP报告——电气化
AI智能总结
IntegratedEnergy AccessPlanning I N PA R T N E R S H I P W I T H : ELECTRIFICATION REPORTJUNE 2024 Other resources in this series Madagascar Integrated Energy Access Planning Clean Cooking Electrification Medical & Agricultural Cold Chains Summary ReportTechnical Report Summary ReportTechnical Report Summary ReportTechnical Report PrimaryData Collection Integrated Energy AccessPlanning Tool TechnicalReport Onlineinteractive tool Powering Social Infrastructure in Madagascar Powering Healthcare in Madagascar Market Assessment and Roadmap for Health Facility Electrification LEARN MORE ABOUT SEforALL’S WORK IN MADAGASCAR Table ofContents ABBREVIATIONS..............................................................................................................................6KEY TERMS........................................................................................................................................7INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................................10MADAGASCAR IEP OVERVIEW....................................................................................................11Purpose of this report..................................................................................................................................................................12ELECTRIFICATION IN MADAGASCAR: OVERVIEW AND CHALLENGE.....................................13The Access Challenge.................................................................................................................................................................13METHODOLOGY..............................................................................................................................22Data Collection..............................................................................................................................................................................23Energy Expenditure Surveys....................................................................................................................................................27Geospatial Modelling Framework..........................................................................................................................................31Design Assumptions....................................................................................................................................................................37Cost Assumptions.........................................................................................................................................................................44MADAGASCAR ELECTRIFICATION SCENARIOS.........................................................................47LEAST-COST ELECTRIFICATION ANALYSIS................................................................................48Densification...................................................................................................................................................................................48Grid Expansion...............................................................................................................................................................................53Mini-grids.........................................................................................................................................................................................57Standalone solarsolutions.......................................................................................................................................................74Facilities Electrification Analysis............................................................................................................................................79ELECTRIFICATION IMPLEMENTATION AND FINANCING REQUIREMENTS..............................83Baseline case-Universal access by 2030.........................................................................................................................83Scenario 2–Universal Access by 2040..............................................................................................................................88SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS.................................................................................................................91Sensitivities to the electrification analysis.........................................................................................................................91RECOMMENDATIONS.....................................................................................................................96ANNEX...........................................................................................................................................100A1–Routing Rules for Madagascar......................................................................................
