2024年可持续航空燃料发展路径研究报告

Global Sustainable TransportInnovation and Knowledge Center GSTIKC 2024 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS enterpeises, amd research inslitutes. Benefiting Fromthe firsthand informatiom and expert opinicns theypresided, tbis report bas beem al:le to fiurther esplonetbo development pathways For sustainable aviatioefiuel. We express our gratitode for theitr sirongstppor. In particalst, grateal aeknowlodgaent isgivsmi to Airbusand Chiss Sontbem Airlims fic theirsuppor of this projcel, slong with the belp ofrelevanl kcam frotn tbe Civil Avialion FlightUeiversity of Clit. This teport is a product of the staff of IntermationslCoopention and Exclumge Cecter of GSTIKC, withceninbutions from akross the GSTIKC Group (CainzTop Think Tanks: Sostainasle Transport IrinovationCemter). Tbe dats colleetion foe this report ends in theEnst (parter of 2024, wilh excepions coted. Thmatetial in tis report issubjeet to copyigbt.GSTUKC sneourages dissgtitimrition ofF its knowledgsTherefote, ficreporti magy betepeodueed, in whole orin patt, for nomcomcnktcial ptposes it Fill atuibrationtn this wotk ix givieu Thereommandad etiation s asfollous: GlotalSunatliosble Trartnport Inesovsticf snd KoowletgeCenter, “Saly Reortof Snasinuble Avistiam FuelDeselopmant Petliwtg: Beijing. 2024. Contact: disi lig,gstike,org.cn When researching fir the pumoe of and prigparing?the repor, we wyre fortonste to have suport from PREFACE In bhe face ofthe severe challenges of global elimatechenge, Che internaticeal eommumity atachesthe avietion industry, Sustainable Aviation Fucl(SAF),as an efetive means ofredueing emsinoeganizations to implement aseries of policies topeomote its derelopment. The Internatiseal Arjo [ro8 aqi pasodoud (VIV1) pogejsossy uodsut:]°net 7ero carbort emissions hy 2051l* in October2021, enmphasizing the pivotal role of SAF inatiaining this etjestive In June 2023, it farherpablished a seris of roadmaps, The leterationaCivil Aviation Orgzsization (ICAO) ha; alsoacknowledged the significance of SAF in its°Rcadmap foe Carbon Neutrality in Aviation, naddition, the International Tinergy Agency (IE/)througb thei: Snstainable Development Scenario arecurrently targeting + 10% take-up of biofuel by 2030,thereby fostering and accelerating the aviationiodnstry's transition towards s low-carbon fuure,Tae cone of these palicies is to support the research,development and commereialization of SAF,assisting in achieving the relevant gnals of the UnitedNatices 2030 Agendn for Sustainable Developmentand promnting the global transport sector towands acleacer and tmcre efficient future. areas, SAF industry in Amernen and Europe isrelatively marare, whereas in Chin the relevantdevelopment and appliestion ofSAF is m thedevelopmental stage. This repot offers insight anddevelapment anelysis oftbe SAF industry flom five3Spects: the evoluation of SAF: tie cuent siturtion o'global SAF developemenr, the primary peactices ofSAF development in China, SAF developmentopportatities and chatlenges, aed the esploratian offutare SAF development patthways. It aims tn createarefereoce picture of the SAF industry to contributetoaccelerating te green andk-carhon transitinfthe global aviation indasty and wa peomnteestainable trzusportatioe development. Aeeording to the researech, S.AF market stil holdshisge developesent potential is the fumure, and ishecceming e cnucial dinection for schieving sustainahle transport developmeot (hrough globulcoltaheratian Notabiy, Chine's SAF marcet exhihiast pnespect, with unique resoare induryadvaniages, aad has the capesiegy in spearhead SAFdevelopment zround thte worid. With contizaossR&D and applieation adancements, SAF prodactiontechnology is poised to beccoe more diversified, thepmduction scale willcontime to expand, the costswillexmespotdingly decrease, and the technicalroadmap will hecome mature further. By strengthert-ing top-level design, integrating multiple resourepremoing industial upgrades, and esarkesincentives, we can aid the green and low-carbontransition ofhe aviatinn industry, extending itsimpact so the beazder field.of global sustainabletranspartation, aed werk together towands achieviegglohal spsttinsble development gools SAF take abig siep towards a low-carsce fuureaisile boosting regicnal ecanomies, prmviding josand lesding industry innovntion, IEowever, tecurrent global market satus ofSAF is stillin theembryonic stage, Altoagh some significanttechnologieal pnogress has ben made and SAF cansignificantly rednce CO2 emissioes dtring the lifecycle, is prodction and appliction scope stillstraggle tomeet temge demand ofe globel cinilaviation indostry'. The high cost is also one of themsin challenges, with the current price of SAF is stil3 to f6 times thot of fossil-based aviation kerosene.a/hile market wncertainty and underigvestnent alsohinder the expansion ef capacity and adoption oftechnology. The development edge of SAF is vary in diffirenl CONTENTS In Retrospect: Development History of SAF05 1.The First Stage (2009-20