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© 2024 World BankInternational Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433 Internet:http://www.worldbank.org/transport Standard Disclaimer This work is a product of the staff of The International Bank of Reconstruction and Development/WorldBank.The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the viewsof Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. TheWorld Bank does notguarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and otherinformation shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bankconcerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, youare free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under thefollowingconditions: Attribution Salgmann, Rico; Weidenhammer, Maximilian; Englert, Dominik. 2024. “Creating a Green Marine Fuel Market inSouth Africa.” World Bank. Washington, DC. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO. Translations If you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution:Thistranslation was not created by the World Bank and should not be considered an official World Banktranslation. The World Bank shall not be liable for any content or error in this translation. Adaptations If you create an adaptation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: This isan adaptation of an original work by The World Bank. Views and opinions expressed in the adaptation are thesole responsibility of the author or authors of the adaptation and are not endorsed by The World Bank. Maps The maps in this publication (other than the aerial images) were produced by the Cartography Unit of theWorld Bank Group. The boundaries, colors, denominations and any other information shown on this map donot imply, on the part of the World Bank Group, any judgment on the legal status of any territory, or anyendorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Cover and design: RRD GO Creative, led by Smriti AnundThis document is version 1.0. Table of Contents AcknowledgmentsixAcronymsxiGlossaryxivExecutive Summaryxv1Introduction12South Africa’s green hydrogen ambition42.1. Fueling decarbonization..........................................................................................................................................52.2. Leveraging opportunities, confronting challenges..........................................................................................62.3. Risk spotlight: Electricity crisis...........................................................................................................................83Hydrogen pathway for international shipping113.1. How fuel and policy pathways converge..........................................................................................................123.2. South Africa’s maritime sector..........................................................................................................................153.3. Risk spotlight: Maritime sector challenges.....................................................................................................154Maritime as a catalyst for South Africa’s green hydrogen ambition174.1. The marine fuel market and green hydrogen..................................................................................................184.2. Approach..................................................................................................................................................................194.3. Energy demand..........