每 日 早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:资金偏好科技股............................................................................................................................3国债期货:经济数据弱于预期........................................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应利多增加盘面偏强运行...........................................................................................................5白糖:外糖价格继续上涨................................................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂波动或增加............................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:春玉米上市,玉米期货底部震荡.......................................................................................8生猪:供应压力好转价格偏强运行...............................................................................................................8花生:现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡............................................................................................................9苹果:苹果质量问题现分歧果价震荡走势.................................................................................................10鸡蛋:旺季需求尚可蛋价有所上涨............................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:干旱天气影响美棉有所走强....................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:需求压制趋势,钢价底部震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:震荡运行,多单可止盈......................................................................................................................13铁矿:市场预期反复,矿价偏空运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:短线偏强,警惕复产带来回调风险..............................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:中东风险推高油价贵金属高位震荡.............................................................................................17铜:国内逼仓缓和,铜价回踩......................................................................................................................18氧化铝:内外走势分化区间震荡运行........................................................................................................19电解铝:淡季仍去库但美伊冲突未解........................................................................................................19铸造铝合金:随铝价震荡承压......................................................................................................................20锌:高位震荡..................................................................................................................................................20铅:维持低位震荡..........................................................................................................................................21镍:成本支撑下移镍价震荡偏弱.................................................................................................................22 不锈钢:成本下行,震荡走弱......................................................................................................................23工业硅:关注大厂减产落地情况..................................................................................................................24多晶硅:短期偏强,关注厂家报价..............................................................................................................24碳酸锂:去库加速锂价延续反弹.................................................................................................................25锡:美伊僵局持续,锡价承压震荡..............................................................................................................26 航运及碳排放 集运:60天停火协议失效,美伊谈判陷入僵局.........................................................................................27干散货运价:散货市场结束回调迎来短期修复,BDI指数呈现止跌回升态势........................................28碳排放:国内碳价仍处震荡区间,欧盟高温天气影响电力供应..............................................................29 能源化工 原油:油价上涨中东局势趋紧...................................................................................................................31沥青:高成本低库存支撑............................................................................................................................32燃料油:新加坡和富查伊拉7月加注量均上行........................................................................................33LPG:地缘局势趋紧成本端提振...................................................................................................................34天然气:美盘回落欧亚续涨........................................................................................................................34PX&PTA:地缘风险再起需求有待提振........................................................................................................35BZ&EB:苯库存降幅较大...............................................................................................................................36乙二醇:地缘风险仍存霍尔木兹海峡通行量低.........................................................................................37短纤:供需双弱库存增加.....................